Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Q2 Stadium.
- Austin FC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | Los Angeles FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 05 Oct | D.C. United SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Austin FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 5–2 | W |
| 05 Oct | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 01 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | St. Louis City | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Austin FC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #23 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 5 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 19 | Scored | 18 |
| 31 | Conceded | 22 |
| -12 | GD | -4 |
| 0.93 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 20% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
Austin FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Austin FC are 29th (14 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Austin FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
4/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Q2 Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Austin FC and Minnesota United FC.
- 5' Daniel Pereira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Minnesota United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Minnesota United FC is showing some good football. However, Minnesota United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Austin FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' Goal! Robin Lod scores his 38 goal in 282 matches.
- 36' Julio Cascante is replacing Leo Vaisanen for the Austin FC side.
- 41' Austin FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Myrto Uzuni scoring 1 goals.
- 46' The 29-year-old Jhojan Valencia has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Austin FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Joseph Rosales argues furiously but the card stands.
- 58' Time for substitution for Austin FC. Ethan Finlay is replaced by Jader Obrian.
- 63' Austin FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Josh Wolff will be considering his options from the bench.
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jhojan Valencia on 70.
- 74' Austin FC ring the changes. Zan Kolmanic has done his job and it is now time for Guilherme Biro to step up.
- 79' Hassani Dotson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Caden Clark on 82 minutes.
- 84' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Rubio is booked for Austin FC — card on 84.
- 87' Another change for Minnesota United FC made on 87 minute. D.J. Taylor leaves to be changed by Zarek Valentin.
- 90' Alejandro Bran doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Austin FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 2
-
9
Gyasi Zardes ↓ Diego Rubio 58'
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Jader Obrian 58'
- 1
- 8
-
23
Zan Kolmanic ↓ Guilherme Biro 74'
-
17
Jon Gallagher ↓ Jhojan Valencia 58'
-
15
Leo Vaisanen ↓ Julio Cascante 36'
- 6
- 33
Bench
-
14
Diego Rubio ↑ 58'
-
18
Julio Cascante ↑ 36'
- 30
- 16
- 4
-
29
Guilherme Biro ↑ 74'
-
11
Jader Obrian ↑ 58'
-
5
Jhojan Valencia ↑ 58'
- 19
Coach
Josh Wolff
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 17
- 20
- 15
- 7
- 31
- 97
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Zarek Valentin 87'
- 8
- 4
- 11
Bench
-
3
Zarek Valentin ↑ 87'
- 1
- –
- –
- –
- 2
- –
- 25
Coach
Cameron Knowles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franco Fragapane | 4 |
| Sebastian Driussi | 4 |
| Diego Fagundez | 2 |
| Robin Lod | 1 |
| Alejandro Bran | 1 |
| Guilherme Biro | 1 |
| Adrien Hunou | 1 |
| Diego Rubio | 1 |
Head to Head
Austin FC Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2024-02-25
Austin FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2023-10-22
Sporting Kansas City
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-10-08
Minnesota United FC
5–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
2023-10-05
Los Angeles FC
5–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-10-01
Minnesota United FC
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
2023-09-24
Minnesota United FC
1–2
St. Louis City
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77
Austin FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Austin FC or Minnesota United FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Austin FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
59%
Austin FC or Minnesota United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Austin FC
| Handicap | Austin FC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Austin FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.