Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | New York City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Sporting Kansas City | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #25 |
| 17 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 20 |
| 32 | Conceded | 25 |
| -8 | GD | -5 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 17% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and Minnesota United FC get this one started.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robin Fraser will be considering his options from the bench.
- 17' Bongokuhle Hlongwane is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
- 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 27' Robin Lod has been relatively quiet despite scoring 38 goals in his last 283 appearances.
- 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lorenzo Insigne on 32.
- 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 47' Anthony Markanich is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Minnesota United FC so far.
- 52' Toronto FC have won 369 goals from 282 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 54' The crowd applauds Bongokuhle Hlongwane as he leaves the pitch. D.J. Taylor steps in for Minnesota United FC.
- 59' Minnesota United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 64' It’s high time Eric Ramsay made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 70' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. Wil Trapp departs to be replaced by Samuel Shashoua.
- 72' The whistle greets Derrick Etienne as he departs to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
- 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Deybi Flores suffering a number of foals already.
- 80' Maxime Dominguez is replacing Lorenzo Insigne for the Toronto FC side.
- 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Jefferson Diaz.
- 87' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Joseph Rosales is replaced by Anthony Markanich on 87 minute.
- 88' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Sang-bin Jeong comes on to replace Kelvin Yeboah.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 24
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Tyrese Spicer 72'
- 21
- 28
- 1
- 17
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 80'
- 6
- 20
Bench
- 8
- 90
- 19
- 14
- 71
-
23
Maxime Dominguez ↑ 80'
- 76
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 72'
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 80'
Coach
Robin Fraser
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 26
-
20
Wil Trapp ↓ Samuel Shashoua 70'
- 15
- 97
- 5
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Sang-bin Jeong 88'
- 8
- 21
- 14
- 28
Bench
- 67
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↑ 54'
-
13
Anthony Markanich ↑ 87'
- 1
-
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 88'
- 23
- 90
-
19
Samuel Shashoua ↑ 70'
- 22
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Darwin Quintero | 5 |
| Darwin Quintero | 3 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Miguel Ibarra | 1 |
| Justin Morrow | 1 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 1 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-04-12
Toronto FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-04-06
New York City FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-03-30
Minnesota United FC
2–0
Real Salt Lake
W
2025-03-22
Minnesota United FC
2–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2025-03-16
Sporting Kansas City
3–3
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-03-09
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or Minnesota United FC 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
65%
Toronto FC or Minnesota United FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.