Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Minnesota United FC H 0–0 D
06 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 1–1 D
29 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 0–0 D
22 Mar New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Toronto FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr New York City FC A 2–1 W
30 Mar Real Salt Lake H 2–0 W
22 Mar Los Angeles Galaxy H 2–2 D
16 Mar Sporting Kansas City A 3–3 D
09 Mar San Jose Earthquakes A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Minnesota United FC
#11 Position #23
14 Points 22
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
22 Scored 18
29 Conceded 22
-7 GD -4
1.00 PPG 1.47
21% Win % 40%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to BMO Field that hosts another battle between Toronto FC and Minnesota United FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lorenzo Insigne, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 8 goals in the last 7 games.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 17' It’s gonna be a card for Bongokuhle Hlongwane.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 27' Joaquin Pereyra has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lorenzo Insigne on 32.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 280 games and scored 369 goals.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' Minnesota United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 52 minutes.
  • 54' Time for substitution for Minnesota United FC. Bongokuhle Hlongwane is replaced by D.J. Taylor.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosi Thompson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. Wil Trapp departs to be replaced by Samuel Shashoua.
  • 72' The whistle greets Derrick Etienne as he departs to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
  • 77' Minnesota United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 80' Maxime Dominguez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lorenzo Insigne on 80 minute.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jefferson Diaz on 84.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Joseph Rosales is replaced by Anthony Markanich on 87 minute.
  • 88' Minnesota United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sang-bin Jeong is hanging Kelvin Yeboah on the field on 88 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.38 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Minnesota United FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC36% Draw28% Minnesota United FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
64%
Toronto FC or Minnesota United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC27% Draw46% Minnesota United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.