Sunday , 16 August 2026

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 04:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Ben Abraham
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 6–1 W
15 Feb Western United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
26 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
22 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Melbourne City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Auckland FC A 1–6 L
14 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 0–1 L
06 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–1 W
15 Jan Sydney FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#3 Position #8
42 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
42 Scored 36
29 Conceded 48
+13 GD -12
1.62 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Auckland FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Auckland FC
Sam Cosgrove 12 G 4 A
Jesse Randall 9 G 8 A
Lachlan Brook 9 G 2 A
Guillermo May Bartesaghi 6 G 4 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Auckland FC to win 74% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC74% Draw16% Wellington Phoenix FC10%
Actual: Auckland FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
26%
Auckland FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC59% Draw32% Wellington Phoenix FC9%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.9%
4 – 0
6.5%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
4 – 1
6%
5 – 0
4%
5 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 38% 62%
-2 38% 21% 41%
-1.5 59% 41%
-1 59% 19% 22%
-0.5 78% 22%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 5% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.