Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Thu 6 Feb 2025 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 24' Hosine Bility

Y 39' Jay O'Shea

Paulo Retre 51' Y

Y 90' Adam Zimarino

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 21 games · Avg 2.5 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-03-31 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-02-02 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-11-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 5–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-04-16 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
25 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–0	D
20 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
15 Jan	Sydney FC	H	0–0	D
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	1–2	L
03 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
31 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
18 Jan	Sydney FC	A	4–3	W
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L
07 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L
03 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#8	Position	#11
33	Points	26
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
36	Scored	27
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.00
35%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Wellington Phoenix FC and Brisbane Roar FC is underway.
5' Brisbane Roar FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' It looks surprising Wellington Phoenix FC does not make any changes. Alby Kelly-Heald has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
24' The referee has no hesitation. Hosine Bility is booked for Brisbane Roar FC — card on 24.
29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
39' A moment of madness from Jay O'Shea on 39 minutes earns him a card. Brisbane Roar FC will be frustrated.
44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
46' A tactical swap from Brisbane Roar FC — Jacob Brazete on, Nathan Amanatidis off on 46 minutes.
51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paulo Retre on 51.
56' Brisbane Roar FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
61' A goal from the New Zealand international Isaac Hughes! He fires home on 61 to make it 1-0!
66' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Lukas Kelly-Heald is withdrawn and Tim Payne gets his opportunity.
67' Keegan Jelacic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Halloran on 67 minute.
68' Adam Zimarino is replacing Florin Berenguer for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
71' Henry Hore does the damage! The net is bulging and Brisbane Roar FC surge ahead!
76' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
79' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Corban Piper is replaced by Fin Conchie on 79 minute.
84' Jay O'Shea has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 205 appearances.
89' Lachlan Candy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hideki Ishige on 89 minute.
90' Brisbane Roar FC player sees a card in front of him.
The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Tim Payne ↑ 66'
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
5
Fin Conchie ↑ 79'
23
Luke Supyk
39
Jayden Smith
46
Lachlan Candy ↑ 89'
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 79'

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

27
Ben Halloran ↓ Keegan Jelacic 67'
10
Florin Berenguer ↓ Adam Zimarino 68'
1
Macklin Freke
15
Hosine Bility
13
Henry Hore
35
Louis Zabala
24
Samuel Klein
17
Nathan Amanatidis ↓ Jacob Brazete 46'
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↓ Jack Hingert 79'
26
Jay O'Shea
8
Walid Shour

Bench

19
Jack Hingert ↑ 79'
23
Keegan Jelacic ↑ 67'
7
Rafael Struick
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 68'
29
Matthew Acton
18
Jacob Brazete ↑ 46'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Oskar Zawada	6
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Gary Hooper	2
Steven Taylor	2
Eric Bautheac	2
Henry Hore	2
Florin Berenguer	2
Corey Brown	1

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-25 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2025-01-20 Macarthur FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-01-15 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Sydney FC D 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC L 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-01-18 Sydney FC 3–4 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-01-07 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.51 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC45% Draw27% Brisbane Roar FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

55%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC30% Draw46% Brisbane Roar FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

8.2%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

0 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	21%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.