Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Thu 6 Feb 2025 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–1 W
15 Jan Sydney FC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
03 Jan Melbourne City FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Brisbane Roar FC
#8 Position #11
33 Points 26
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
36 Scored 27
48 Conceded 36
-12 GD -9
1.27 PPG 1.00
35% Win % 23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Brisbane Roar FC get us underway at Wellington Regional Stadium.
  • 5' Brisbane Roar FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Scott Wootton made 335 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' Hosine Bility catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 24.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Brisbane Roar FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Brisbane Roar FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 39' Poor challenge from Jay O'Shea. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Nathan Amanatidis is withdrawn and Jacob Brazete gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' Isaac Hughes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 66' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Lukas Kelly-Heald is replaced by Tim Payne.
  • 67' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Ben Halloran is withdrawn and Keegan Jelacic gets his opportunity.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Brisbane Roar FC team. Florin Berenguer is replaced by Adam Zimarino on 68 minute.
  • 71' Henry Hore doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' Wellington Phoenix FC make a change. Corban Piper trudges off to be replaced by Fin Conchie on 79 minutes.
  • 84' The 34-year-old Ben Halloran has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Lachlan Candy comes on to replace Hideki Ishige.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Adam Zimarino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC45% Draw27% Brisbane Roar FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
55%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC30% Draw46% Brisbane Roar FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.