Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Mon 20 Jan 2025 · 08:00 UTC Campbelltown Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at Campbelltown Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Adam Kersey

Recent Form

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#7 Position #8
34 Points 33
26 Played 26
9 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
37 Scored 36
44 Conceded 48
-7 GD -12
1.31 PPG 1.27
35% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Macarthur FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Macarthur FC37% Draw26% Wellington Phoenix FC37%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
63%
Macarthur FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Macarthur FC29% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC29%
Actual: Macarthur FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.