Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 21 Aug 2022 · 18:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alessandro Costanzo
  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Emanuele Prenna
  • Referee Giovanni Baccini
  • Referee Simone Sozza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Aug AC Milan H 1–1 D
13 Aug UC Sampdoria A 2–0 W
21 May Empoli FC H 0–1 L
15 May AC Milan A 0–2 L
08 May Spezia Calcio A 3–1 W
02 May US Salernitana 1919 H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Aug Atalanta BC A 1–1 D
13 Aug Udinese Calcio H 4–2 W
22 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–0 W
15 May Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
08 May Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
01 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#11 Position #5
6 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
5 Scored 10
7 Conceded 4
-2 GD +6
1.20 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Atalanta BC welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Gewiss Stadium.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 517 games and scored 603 goals.
  • 15' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 16' That is a Yellow card for Atalanta BC. Rafael Toloi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 21' Duvan Zapata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atalanta BC so far.
  • 23' Poor challenge from Stefano Pioli. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 29' Ruslan Malinovskyi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ante Rebic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atalanta BC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hans Hateboer made 527 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ante Rebic.
  • 48' Atalanta BC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 58' Charles De Ketelaere gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Brahim Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. Atalanta BC in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 66' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Rafael Leao exits the field as Divock Origi enters on 66.
  • 68' Ismael Bennacer makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 73' A change in the Atalanta BC ranks — Duvan Zapata exits the field as Luis Muriel enters on 73.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sandro Tonali on 75.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Berat Gjimshiti on 78 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Atalanta BC will be frustrated.
  • 82' Caleb Okoli is replacing Berat Gjimshiti for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 84' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Davide Calabria is replaced by Alessandro Florenzi on 84 minute.
  • 89' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Joakim Maehle is withdrawn and Nadir Zortea gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Marten de Roon on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Atalanta BC 1-1 AC Milan. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.77 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC20% Draw27% AC Milan53%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
47%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC13% Draw46% AC Milan41%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
12%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
6.8%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 25% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 19% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.