AC Milan vs Empoli FC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Federico Dionisi
- Assistant 1 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
15 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Como 1907 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' It looks surprising Empoli FC does not make any changes. Luca Marianucci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 19' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Alvaro Morata on 19.
- 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Matteo Gabbia was booked on 25.
- 30' Empoli FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Lorenzo Colombo.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 44' GOAL! Tijjani Reijnders scores on 44. Assisted by Christian Pulisic
- 46' Time for substitution for Empoli FC. Giuseppe Pezzella is replaced by Liberato Cacace.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' The referee calls foul for Yunus Musah. He receives a card.
- 62' Ola Solbakken needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 66' Sebastiano Esposito is replacing Faustino Anjorin for the Empoli FC side.
- 67' Liam Henderson is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 69' Goal! Tijjani Reijnders scores his 17 goal in 300 matches.
- 71' Another substitution for Empoli FC to replace Saba Goglichidze by Luca Marianucci on 71 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Youssouf Fofana as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
- 76' Time for substitution for Empoli FC. Pietro Pellegri is replaced by Emmanuel Ekong.
- 81' Tammy Abraham is replacing Alvaro Morata for the AC Milan side.
- 84' Francesco Camarda is replacing Rafael Leao for the AC Milan side.
- 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christian Pulisic suffering a number of foals already.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Tammy Abraham 81'
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Francesco Camarda 84'
- 11
- 19
- 46
- 28
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 75'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 81'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 75'
- 23
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 75'
- 2
- 57
-
31
Strahinja Pavlovic ↑ 75'
- 42
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 84'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
Empoli FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 9
- 6
- 3
- 34
- 8
- 21
-
29
Lorenzo Colombo ↓ Ola Solbakken 46'
- 93
- 23
- 11
- 2
Bench
- 1
- 7
-
13
Liberato Cacace ↑ 46'
- 16
-
99
Sebastiano Esposito ↑ 66'
-
17
Ola Solbakken ↑ 46'
-
19
Emmanuel Ekong ↑ 76'
- 12
-
35
Luca Marianucci ↑ 71'
- 31
- 90
- 37
- 36
Coach
Roberto D'Aversa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Nedim Bajrami | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Ante Rebic | 1 |
| Fabio Borini | 1 |
| Samu Castillejo | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Empoli FC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
86%
Draw or Empoli FC
38%
AC Milan or Empoli FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.7%
2 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Empoli FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.