Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2024-25
Real Madrid CF
1 – 3
Full Time
AC Milan
Tue 5 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,561 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Malick Thiaw
Vinicius Junior pen 23' 1–1
1–2 39' Alvaro Morata
1–3 73' Tijjani Reijnders
Y 21' Alvaro Morata
Eduardo Camavinga 58' Y
Eder Militao 68' Y
Lucas Vazquez 68' Y
Vinicius Junior 71' Y
Y 85' Youssouf Fofana

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atlético de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
Real Madrid CF 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov AC Milan H 1–3 L
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 0–4 L
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 5–2 W
19 Oct RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W
02 Nov AC Monza A 1–0 W
29 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 3–1 W
19 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Lucas Vazquez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 12' A goal from the Germany international Malick Thiaw! He fires home on 12 to make it 0-1!
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alvaro Morata on 21.
  • 23' Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 553 games and scored 793 goals.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 39' Alvaro Morata makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 44' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 46 minute. Aurelien Tchouameni leaves to be changed by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 51' Aurelien Tchouameni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 58' A moment of madness from Eduardo Camavinga on 58 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Dani Ceballos on, Luka Modric off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eder Militao.
  • 70' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Alvaro Morata on the field on 70 minute.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 73' Assisted by Rafael Leao with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tijjani Reijnders makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 74' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Fran Garcia on, Ferland Mendy off on 74 minutes.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Noah Okafor. He replaces Rafael Leao on 77 minute.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' Youssouf Fofana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 90' Davide Calabria has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emerson Royal on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF28% Draw26% AC Milan46%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
55%
Draw or AC Milan
72%
Real Madrid CF or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF21% Draw43% AC Milan36%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.