Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2024-25
Real Madrid CF
1 – 3
Full Time
AC Milan
Tue 5 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,561 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Malick Thiaw
Vinicius Junior pen 23' 1–1
1–2 39' Alvaro Morata
1–3 73' Tijjani Reijnders
Y 21' Alvaro Morata
Eduardo Camavinga 58' Y
Eder Militao 68' Y
Lucas Vazquez 68' Y
Vinicius Junior 71' Y
Y 85' Youssouf Fofana

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs AC Milan — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
Real Madrid CF 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov AC Milan H 1–3 L
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 0–4 L
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 5–2 W
19 Oct RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W
02 Nov AC Monza A 1–0 W
29 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 3–1 W
19 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and AC Milan.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 12' Goal! Malick Thiaw scores his 7 goal in 406 matches.
  • 17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
  • 21' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 23' Goal! Vinicius Junior scores his 115 goal in 545 matches.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alvaro Morata, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Aurelien Tchouameni has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' Goal! Alvaro Morata scores his 125 goal in 409 matches.
  • 44' Emerson Royal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Eduardo Camavinga. He replaces Aurelien Tchouameni on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 56' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' The referee calls foul for Eduardo Camavinga. He receives a card.
  • 63' Dani Ceballos is replacing Luka Modric for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 68' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 70' Another change for AC Milan made on 70 minute. Alvaro Morata leaves to be changed by Tammy Abraham.
  • 71' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 73' Goal! Tijjani Reijnders scores his 17 goal in 300 matches.
  • 74' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 74 minute. Ferland Mendy leaves to be changed by Fran Garcia.
  • 77' Another change for AC Milan made on 77 minute. Rafael Leao leaves to be changed by Noah Okafor.
  • 82' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' Youssouf Fofana was booked on 85.
  • 90' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Emerson Royal by Davide Calabria on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF28% Draw26% AC Milan46%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
55%
Draw or AC Milan
72%
Real Madrid CF or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF21% Draw43% AC Milan36%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.