AS Roma vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AS Roma vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
- AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Damiano Di Iorio
- Assistant 2 Pasquale Capaldo
13 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | Atalanta BC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Nov | SSC Napoli | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Nov | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Nov | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec | AS Roma | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | BSC Young Boys | A | 6–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | SSC Napoli | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #7 |
| 73 | Points | 59 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 23 / 4 / 11 | W / D / L | 15 / 14 / 9 |
| 59 | Scored | 51 |
| 31 | Conceded | 36 |
| +28 | GD | +15 |
| 1.92 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 61% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AS Roma kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Roma is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Mateo Retegui, a Italy , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Mats Hummels has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 540 appearances.
- 35' AS Roma currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' AS Roma is showing some good football. However, AS Roma are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 53' Paulo Dybala is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
- 54' The whistle greets Mateo Retegui as he departs to be replaced by Lazar Samardzic.
- 59' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' AS Roma make a change. Artem Dovbyk trudges off to be replaced by Eldor Shomurodov on 62 minutes.
- 63' Ademola Lookman makes way for Nicolo Zaniolo at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atalanta BC.
- 64' Atalanta BC ring the changes. Charles De Ketelaere has done his job and it is now time for Marco Brescianini to step up.
- 69' Marten de Roon has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
- 72' Alexis Saelemaekers gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Zeki Celik and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Stephan El Shaarawy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mats Hummels on 74 minute.
- 78' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
- 81' Matias Soule is replacing Paulo Dybala for the AS Roma side.
- 82' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Bryan Cristante by Nicola Zalewski on 82 minute.
- 83' Berat Djimsiti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Odilon Kossounou at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Sead Kolasinac gets a card.
- 89' Nicolo Zaniolo adds to his 0 season tally! Atalanta BC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nicolo Zaniolo on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Atalanta BC take all three points.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 15
- 5
-
21
Paulo Dybala ↓ Matias Soule 81'
- 23
- 4
- 16
- 99
-
11
Artem Dovbyk ↓ Eldor Shomurodov 62'
- 17
Bench
- 98
- 7
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 74'
-
14
Eldor Shomurodov ↑ 62'
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 72'
- 28
- 12
-
59
Nicola Zalewski ↑ 82'
- 35
-
18
Matias Soule ↑ 81'
- 26
- 66
- 89
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 15
- 16
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Lazar Samardzic 54'
- 29
- 17
-
22
Matteo Ruggeri ↓ Juan Cuadrado 54'
- 3
- 4
Bench
- 5
- 28
-
7
Juan Cuadrado ↑ 54'
- 31
- 2
- 8
-
10
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 63'
-
44
Marco Brescianini ↑ 64'
-
24
Lazar Samardzic ↑ 54'
- 42
-
19
Berat Djimsiti ↑ 83'
- 6
- 27
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 4 |
| Edin Dzeko | 4 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Rafael Toloi | 2 |
| Marten de Roon | 2 |
| Emiliano Rigoni | 2 |
| Jose Luis Palomino | 2 |
| Mario Pasalic | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
47%
Draw or Atalanta BC
78%
AS Roma or Atalanta BC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

