AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 6 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 6 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | AFC Ajax | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Willem II Tilburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | FC Utrecht | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Sep | NEC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Sep | Willem II Tilburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | PSV | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Aug | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 4 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 |
| 19 | Scored | 13 |
| 7 | Conceded | 7 |
| +12 | GD | +6 |
| 2.17 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 67% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
33%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
AFC Ajax are 4th (13 pts). SBV Excelsior are 6th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Julian Brandt | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
SBV Excelsior
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Irakli Yegoian | 2 G | 4 A |
| Aymen Sliti | 2 G | 1 A |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Devyne Rensch | 2 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
2.13
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
71%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
52%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
77%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
19%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
13%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.