Sunday , 18 October 2026

AFC Ajax vs PSV, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2026-27
1 – 3
Full Time
Sat 5 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Ricardo Pepi
1–2 45+1' Lutsharel Geertruida
1–3 90+2' Esmir Bajraktarevic

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs PSV — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

  • AFC Ajax 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
  • PSV 9 games · 19 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep PSV H 1–3 L
30 Aug Telstar 1963 A 4–0 W
16 Aug SC Heerenveen H 2–2 D
09 Aug PEC Zwolle A 2–0 W
17 May SC Heerenveen A 0–0 D
10 May FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Sep AFC Ajax A 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Utrecht A 6–1 W
23 Aug FC Groningen H 5–1 W
15 Aug SBV Excelsior A 2–1 W
08 Aug Fortuna Sittard H 2–2 D
17 May FC Twente '65 H 5–1 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax PSV
#5 Position #2
15 Points 19
8 Played 9
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 2
22 Scored 27
10 Conceded 12
+12 GD +15
1.88 PPG 2.11
50% Win % 67%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
11% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (15 pts). PSV are 2nd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Guus Til 5 G 1 A
Sven Mijnans 5 G 1 A
Ricardo Pepi 3 G
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
Ruben van Bommel 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AFC Ajax vs PSV — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' What a strike from Ricardo Pepi! The score is 0-1.
  • 10' PSV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' PSV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 16' That is a card for PSV. Kodai Sano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' What composure from Toluwalas Arokodare! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 28' PSV has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' That is a card for PSV. Noah Fernandez will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Fresh legs for PSV! Paul Wanner comes on to replace Noah Fernandez.
  • 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lutsharel Geertruida makes it 1-2.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 487 games and scored 837 goals.
  • 54' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 54 minute. Davy Klaassen leaves to be changed by Sofyan Amrabat.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with PSV winning 100% of all matches.
  • 61' The whistle greets Toluwalas Arokodare as he departs to be replaced by Kasper Dolberg.
  • 63' The PSV bench stirs into life. Ricardo Pepi is withdrawn and Sven Mijnans gets his opportunity.
  • 68' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 73' A change in the PSV ranks — Mauro Junior exits the field as Filip Kostic enters on 73.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Filip Kostic. He receives a card.
  • 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 80' Davy Klaassen was booked on 80.
  • 81' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 81.
  • 84' Lutsharel Geertruida was booked on 84.
  • 84' Thilo Kehrer is replacing Aaron Bouwman for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 88' Yarek Gasiorowski gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Armando Obispo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anton Gaaei on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for PSV players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31 PSV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + AFC Ajax or PSV 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax33% Draw24% PSV43%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
56%
Draw or PSV
67%
AFC Ajax or PSV
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax27% Draw37% PSV36%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 9% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 15% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 18% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.