AFC Ajax vs PSV, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs PSV — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Van der Eijk
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
7 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 10.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | SBV Excelsior | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | NEC | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Telstar 1963 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 9 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 May | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | FC Utrecht | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep | AFC Ajax | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Utrecht | A | 6–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | FC Groningen | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | SBV Excelsior | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Aug | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | FC Twente '65 | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 19 |
| 8 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 2 |
| 22 | Scored | 27 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| +12 | GD | +15 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.11 |
| 50% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
11%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (15 pts). PSV are 2nd (19 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 4 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
PSV
| Guus Til | 5 G | 1 A |
| Sven Mijnans | 5 G | 1 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 3 G | |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! AFC Ajax vs PSV — let the football do the talking.
- 5' What a strike from Ricardo Pepi! The score is 0-1.
- 10' PSV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' PSV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 16' That is a card for PSV. Kodai Sano will be fuming at that decision.
- 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 23' What composure from Toluwalas Arokodare! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 28' PSV has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 37' That is a card for PSV. Noah Fernandez will be fuming at that decision.
- 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Fresh legs for PSV! Paul Wanner comes on to replace Noah Fernandez.
- 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lutsharel Geertruida makes it 1-2.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 487 games and scored 837 goals.
- 54' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 54 minute. Davy Klaassen leaves to be changed by Sofyan Amrabat.
- 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with PSV winning 100% of all matches.
- 61' The whistle greets Toluwalas Arokodare as he departs to be replaced by Kasper Dolberg.
- 63' The PSV bench stirs into life. Ricardo Pepi is withdrawn and Sven Mijnans gets his opportunity.
- 68' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
- 73' A change in the PSV ranks — Mauro Junior exits the field as Filip Kostic enters on 73.
- 74' The referee calls foul for Filip Kostic. He receives a card.
- 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 80' Davy Klaassen was booked on 80.
- 81' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 81.
- 84' Lutsharel Geertruida was booked on 84.
- 84' Thilo Kehrer is replacing Aaron Bouwman for the AFC Ajax side.
- 88' Yarek Gasiorowski gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Armando Obispo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anton Gaaei on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for PSV players.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 12
- 23
- 8
- 1
- 99
- 15
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sofyan Amrabat 54'
- 3
-
24
Jorthy Mokio ↓ Abdellah Ouazane 73'
-
30
Aaron Bouwman ↓ Thilo Kehrer 84'
Bench
- 5
-
4
Sofyan Amrabat ↑ 54'
- 26
-
9
Kasper Dolberg ↑ 61'
-
6
Thilo Kehrer ↑ 84'
-
11
Viktor Tsyhankov ↑ 61'
-
38
Marcos Leonardo Almeida ↑ 54'
- 20
- 2
- 36
-
68
Abdellah Ouazane ↑ 73'
- 21
Coach
Michel
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
-
17
Mauro Junior ↓ Filip Kostic 73'
- 20
- 2
- 5
-
9
Ricardo Pepi ↓ Sven Mijnans 63'
- 8
- 32
- 7
- 24
-
31
Noah Fernandez ↓ Paul Wanner 46'
Bench
-
18
Filip Kostic ↑ 73'
-
21
Sven Mijnans ↑ 63'
- 1
-
10
Paul Wanner ↑ 46'
-
6
Ryan Flamingo ↑ 73'
-
19
Esmir Bajraktarevic ↑ 63'
-
3
Yarek Gasiorowski ↑ 88'
- 41
- 35
- 37
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + AFC Ajax or PSV 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
56%
Draw or PSV
67%
AFC Ajax or PSV
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 18% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

