Sunday , 16 August 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
SBV Excelsior
2 – 2
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 11:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 2 6
2 FC Groningen 2 6
3 Go Ahead Eagles 2 4
4 Fortuna Sittard 2 4
5 PSV 2 4
6 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2 4
7 SBV Excelsior 2 3
8 NEC 2 3
9 AFC Ajax 1 3
10 Sparta Rotterdam 2 3
11 FC Twente '65 2 3
12 SC Heerenveen 1 3
13 Telstar 1963 2 3
14 FC Utrecht 2 0
15 PEC Zwolle 2 0
16 ADO Den Haag 2 0
17 Willem II Tilburg 2 0
18 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 0

Head-to-Head

1
3
4
SBV Excelsior 8 games · Avg 5.5 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior 2024-04-24 AFC Ajax 2–2 SBV Excelsior 2023-08-19 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

SBV Excelsior
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
24 Jan FC Twente '65 A 0–0 D
21 Jan AZ A 1–1 D
17 Jan Telstar 1963 H 2–2 D
10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L
24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
20 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
17 Jan Go Ahead Eagles H 2–2 D
11 Jan Telstar 1963 A 3–2 W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax
#7 Position #9
3 Points 3
2 Played 1
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 0
5 Scored 2
2 Conceded 0
+3 GD +2
1.50 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (3 pts). AFC Ajax are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Dusan Tadic 5
Brian Brobbey 4
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 3
Mohammed Kudus 3
Devyne Rensch 2
Donny van de Beek 2
Kasper Dolberg 2
Jorge Sanchez 2

Head to Head

2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2025-11-22 AFC Ajax 1–2 SBV Excelsior 2024-04-24 AFC Ajax 2–2 SBV Excelsior 2023-08-19 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax

SBV Excelsior Form

2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2026-01-24 FC Twente '65 0–0 SBV Excelsior D 2026-01-21 AZ 1–1 SBV Excelsior D 2026-01-17 SBV Excelsior 2–2 Telstar 1963 D 2026-01-10 PSV 5–1 SBV Excelsior L 2025-12-20 SBV Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle W

AFC Ajax Form

2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2026-01-28 AFC Ajax 1–2 PAE Olympiakos SFP L 2026-01-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam W 2026-01-20 Villarreal CF 1–2 AFC Ajax W 2026-01-17 AFC Ajax 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles D 2026-01-11 Telstar 1963 2–3 AFC Ajax W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.95 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior28% Draw27% AFC Ajax45%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
55%
Draw or AFC Ajax
72%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior17% Draw47% AFC Ajax36%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.