Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 2
Full Time
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 11:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
24 Jan FC Twente '65 A 0–0 D
21 Jan AZ A 1–1 D
17 Jan Telstar 1963 H 2–2 D
10 Jan PSV A 1–5 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L
24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
20 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
17 Jan Go Ahead Eagles H 2–2 D
11 Jan Telstar 1963 A 3–2 W

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax
#13 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SBV Excelsior and AFC Ajax has kicked off!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.95 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior34% Draw32% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
66%
Draw or AFC Ajax
66%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior21% Draw54% AFC Ajax25%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
7.3%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
2.6%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
35%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.