Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:30 UTC Van Donge & De Roo Stadion 4,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Brian Brobbey
Siebe Horemans 45+1' 1–1
Nikolas Agrafiotis 48' 2–1
2–2 72' Davy Klaassen

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Sjoerd Nanninga
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
13 Aug NEC A 4–3 W
28 May FC Volendam A 2–3 L
21 May Fortuna Sittard H 3–0 W
13 May SC Heerenveen A 0–0 D
07 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
12 Aug Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
28 May FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
21 May FC Utrecht H 3–1 W
16 May FC Groningen A 3–2 W
06 May AZ H 0–0 D

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax
#7 Position #5
11 Points 14
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
15 Scored 21
9 Conceded 9
+6 GD +12
1.57 PPG 2.00
43% Win % 57%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion as SBV Excelsior face off against AFC Ajax in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Davy Klaassen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' What a strike from Brian Brobbey! The score is 0-1.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arthur Zagre, as he is very good at scoring at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Anass Salah-Eddine has done his job and it is now time for Owen Wijndal to step up.
  • 46' Goal! Siebe Horemans scores his 7 goal in 141 matches.
  • 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nikolas Agrafiotis makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 53' Couhaib Driouech has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' It’s high time Marinus Dijkhuizen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' The whistle greets Branco van den Boomen as he departs to be replaced by Kenneth Taylor.
  • 60' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Carlos Forbs exits the field as Davy Klaassen enters on 60.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' Carlos Forbs, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 72' Davy Klaassen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 74' SBV Excelsior ring the changes. Couhaib Driouech has done his job and it is now time for Derensili Sanches Fernandes to step up.
  • 75' Sven Nieuwpoort has so much to prove this time. He replaces Siebe Horemans on 75 minute.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Steven Bergwijn made 441 appearances and scored 61 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' It is a cagey affair so far. SBV Excelsior in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 86' Time for substitution for SBV Excelsior. Noah Naujoks is replaced by Oscar Uddenas.
  • 87' The SBV Excelsior manager makes a substitution. Noah Naujoks departs to be replaced by Oscar Uddenas.
  • 90' Jakov Medic makes way for Kristian Hlynsson at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • The points are shared — SBV Excelsior 2-2 AFC Ajax. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior29% Draw23% AFC Ajax48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
52%
Draw or AFC Ajax
71%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior23% Draw36% AFC Ajax41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 4
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 13% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 19% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 16% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.