1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Thielert
- Referee Lasse Koslowski
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Referee Mike Pickel
- Referee Patrick Alt
- Referee Soren Storks
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–4 | L |
| 13 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 May | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | 1. FC Köln | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Hertha BSC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 15 |
| 19 | Conceded | 15 |
| -1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host VfB Stuttgart — let the battle begin!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' VfB Stuttgart fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Konstantinos Mavropanos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' Magnificent from Marcus Ingvartsen! That is 44 goals in 326 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 28' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against VfB Stuttgart's shape.
- 33' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' Wataru Endo adds to his 0 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 46' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Dominik Kohr was booked on 61.
- 62' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Tiago Tomas is withdrawn and Chris Fuhrich gets his opportunity.
- 64' Sehrou Guirassy doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 65' Lee Jaesung is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aymen Barkok at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 71' Konstantinos Mavropanos is replacing Dan-Axel Zagadou for the VfB Stuttgart side.
- 72' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Marcus Ingvartsen departs to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Wataru Endo is booked for VfB Stuttgart — Yellow card on 73.
- 75' Stefan Bell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 75.
- 78' A goal from the Germany international Chris Fuhrich! He fires home on 78 to make it 1-3!
- 83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfB Stuttgart backline.
- 86' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 86 minute. Anthony Caci leaves to be changed by Aaron Martin.
- 87' Silas Wamangituka makes way for Tanguy Coulibaly at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 90' Poor challenge from Ludovic Ajorque. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats 1. FSV Mainz 05
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 86'
- 31
- 1
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Nelson Weiper 86'
- 9
- 8
- 21
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↓ Lee Jaesung 65'
- 20
- 11
- 6
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 65'
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 72'
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 86'
- 37
- 36
- 32
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 86'
- 43
- 34
Coach
Bo Svensson
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 14
- 4
- 23
- 2
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↓ Pascal Stenzel 86'
- 9
- 33
- 3
- 21
-
10
Tiago Tomas ↓ Chris Fuhrich 62'
Bench
-
5
Konstantinos Mavropanos ↑ 71'
- 1
-
17
Genki Haraguchi ↑ 86'
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↑ 86'
-
22
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 62'
- 20
-
7
Tanguy Coulibaly ↑ 86'
- 25
- 8
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
55%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 19% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

