1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Thielert
- Referee Lasse Koslowski
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Referee Mike Pickel
- Referee Patrick Alt
- Referee Soren Storks
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–4 | L |
| 13 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 May | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Hertha BSC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 40 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 44 | Scored | 71 |
| 53 | Conceded | 49 |
| -9 | GD | +22 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart has kicked off!
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Anthony Caci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Dominik Kohr has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 23' Marcus Ingvartsen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Wataru Endo makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 46' Karim Onisiwo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
- 62' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Tiago Tomas by Chris Fuhrich on 62 minute.
- 64' Sehrou Guirassy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 8 goals this season for the .
- 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Aymen Barkok has done his job and it is now time for Lee Jaesung to step up.
- 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 71' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Konstantinos Mavropanos is hanging Dan-Axel Zagadou on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Marcus Ingvartsen trudges off to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque on 72 minutes.
- 73' Wataru Endo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 73.
- 75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Stefan Bell.
- 78' Chris Fuhrich is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the left winger.
- 83' VfB Stuttgart looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 86' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Anthony Caci is replaced by Aaron Martin.
- 87' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Silas Wamangituka is withdrawn and Tanguy Coulibaly gets his opportunity.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ludovic Ajorque. He receives a Yellow card.
- Another three points for VfB Stuttgart.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 86'
- 31
- 1
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Nelson Weiper 86'
- 9
- 8
- 21
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↓ Lee Jaesung 65'
- 20
- 11
- 6
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 65'
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 72'
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 86'
- 37
- 36
- 32
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 86'
- 43
- 34
Coach
Bo Svensson
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 14
- 4
- 23
- 2
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↓ Pascal Stenzel 86'
- 9
- 33
- 3
- 21
-
10
Tiago Tomas ↓ Chris Fuhrich 62'
Bench
-
5
Konstantinos Mavropanos ↑ 71'
- 1
-
17
Genki Haraguchi ↑ 86'
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↑ 86'
-
22
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 62'
- 20
-
7
Tanguy Coulibaly ↑ 86'
- 25
- 8
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Mateo Klimowicz | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
76%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 21% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

