Friday , 9 October 2026

1. FC Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07, DFB-Pokal 2026-27 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2026-27
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 16:00 UTC Stadion Lohmuhle HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jano ter Horst
0–2 41' Santiago Castaneda
Moritz Kretzer 43' 1–2
1–3 61' Stefano Marino
1–4 71' Gabriel Vidovic
Tjark Scheller og 75' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Phonix Lubeck vs SC Paderborn 07 — DFB-Pokal at Stadion Lohmuhle.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 26.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1. FC Phönix Lübeck 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 2–4 L
17 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug 1. FC Phönix Lübeck A 4–2 W
17 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
08 May Karlsruher SC H 2–2 D
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Phönix Lübeck this season
0% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Phönix Lübeck
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/2
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 1. FC Phonix Lubeck xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.34 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Phonix Lubeck28% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0748%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

1. FC Phonix Lubeck or Draw
52%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
1. FC Phonix Lubeck or SC Paderborn 07
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Phonix Lubeck22% Draw37% SC Paderborn 0741%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 4
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Phonix Lubeck

Handicap 1. FC Phonix Lubeck covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 13% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 20% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 16% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Phonix Lubeck keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.