SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- FC Schalke 04 34 games · 70 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
20 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | SC Preussen Munster | H | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Hannover 96 | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | FC Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 62 | Points | 70 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 6 |
| 59 | Scored | 50 |
| 45 | Conceded | 31 |
| +14 | GD | +19 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 53% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
41%
Clean Sheets
FC Schalke 04 this season
FC Schalke 04 this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). FC Schalke 04 are 1st (70 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Schalke 04
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Schalke 04 kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising FC Schalke 04 does not make any changes. Moussa N'Diaye has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' FC Schalke 04 looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Dejan Ljubicic scoring 2 goals.
- 13' Laurin Curda puts SC Paderborn 07 on the lead.
- 18' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mertcan Ayhan, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 26' GOAL! Stefano Marino scores on 26.
- 31' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Goal! Dejan Ljubicic scores his 19 goal in 30 matches.
- 40' What a strike from Adil Aouchiche! The score is 2-2.
- 45' It’s high time Miron Muslic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Schalke 04 winning 100% of all matches.
- 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Schalke 04 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Schalke 04 that had 406 games and scored 311 goals.
- 65' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Steffen Tigges is hanging Ruben Muller on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Schalke 04 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 76' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Kennedy Okpala. He replaces Stefano Marino on 80 minute.
- 83' Dejan Ljubicic puts FC Schalke 04 on the lead.
- 85' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 85 minute. Filip Bilbija leaves to be changed by Sven Michel.
- 86' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nick Batzner is hanging Jonah Sticker on the field on 86 minute.
- 88' Another substitution for FC Schalke 04 to replace Moussa Sylla by Janik Bachmann on 88 minute.
- 90' Adil Aouchiche was booked on 90.
- 90' The FC Schalke 04 manager makes a substitution. Adil Aouchiche departs to be replaced by Christian Gomis.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 85'
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Kennedy Okpala 80'
- 4
- 41
- 5
- 17
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↓ Nick Batzner 86'
- 14
- 25
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Steffen Tigges 66'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 85'
- 26
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 66'
-
9
Nick Batzner ↑ 86'
- 22
-
10
Kennedy Okpala ↑ 80'
- 24
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
FC Schalke 04 Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Moussa Sylla ↓ Janik Bachmann 88'
- 19
- 1
- 21
- 6
- 24
- 5
- 23
-
16
Moussa N'Diaye ↓ Vitalie Becker 86'
- 4
- 43
Bench
- 22
-
14
Janik Bachmann ↑ 88'
- 18
-
7
Christian Gomis ↑ 90'
- 2
-
17
Adrian Gantenbein ↑ 86'
-
33
Vitalie Becker ↑ 86'
- 37
- 3
Coach
Miron Muslic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenan Karaman | 3 |
| Ahmed Kutucu | 2 |
| Dejan Ljubicic | 2 |
| Florent Muslija | 2 |
| Amine Harit | 2 |
| Marvin Mehlem | 1 |
| Suat Serdar | 1 |
| Bryan Lasme | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-26
SC Paderborn 07
2–3
FC Schalke 04
L
2026-04-18
Hannover 96
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-04-12
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
1. FC Magdeburg
W
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Schalke 04 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
66%
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | FC Schalke 04 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

