SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- FC Schalke 04 34 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 28.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | SC Preußen Münster | H | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Hannover 96 | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SC Paderborn 07 launch into their encounter with FC Schalke 04.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Miron Muslic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christian Gomis, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 13' What a strike from Laurin Curda! The score is 1-0.
- 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 26' A goal from the Germany international Stefano Marino! He fires home on 26 to make it 2-0!
- 31' SC Paderborn 07 have won 235 goals from 321 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' A goal from the Austria international Dejan Ljubicic! He fires home on 35 to make it 2-1!
- 40' A stunning finish from Adil Aouchiche — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' The travelling FC Schalke 04 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 66' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Steffen Tigges is hanging Ruben Muller on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 76' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 80 minute. Stefano Marino leaves to be changed by Kennedy Okpala.
- 83' Brilliant from the ! Dejan Ljubicic makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 83.
- 85' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Filip Bilbija is replaced by Sven Michel.
- 86' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Jonah Sticker by Nick Batzner on 86 minute.
- 88' The crowd applauds Moussa Sylla as he leaves the pitch. Janik Bachmann steps in for FC Schalke 04.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adil Aouchiche.
- 90' Another change for FC Schalke 04 made on 90 minute. Adil Aouchiche leaves to be changed by Christian Gomis.
- 2-3 the final result. SC Paderborn 07 will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 85'
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Kennedy Okpala 80'
- 4
- 41
- 5
- 17
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↓ Nick Batzner 86'
- 14
- 25
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Steffen Tigges 66'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 85'
- 26
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 66'
-
9
Nick Batzner ↑ 86'
- 22
-
10
Kennedy Okpala ↑ 80'
- 24
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
FC Schalke 04 Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Moussa Sylla ↓ Janik Bachmann 88'
- 19
- 1
- 21
- 6
- 24
- 5
- 23
-
16
Moussa N'Diaye ↓ Vitalie Becker 86'
- 4
- 43
Bench
- 22
-
14
Janik Bachmann ↑ 88'
- 18
-
7
Christian Gomis ↑ 90'
- 2
-
17
Adrian Gantenbein ↑ 86'
-
33
Vitalie Becker ↑ 86'
- 37
- 3
Coach
Miron Muslic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenan Karaman | 3 |
| Florent Muslija | 2 |
| Amine Harit | 2 |
| Ahmed Kutucu | 2 |
| Dejan Ljubicic | 2 |
| Stefano Marino | 1 |
| Moussa Sylla | 1 |
| Laurin Curda | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-26
SC Paderborn 07
2–3
FC Schalke 04
L
2026-04-18
Hannover 96
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-04-12
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
1. FC Magdeburg
W
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.7
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Schalke 04 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
64%
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | FC Schalke 04 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.