Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sat 29 Feb 2020 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1. FSV Mainz 05 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Feb SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
23 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–4 L
16 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D
08 Feb Hertha BSC A 3–1 W
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
25 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
21 Feb FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
15 Feb Hertha BSC H 1–2 L
08 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 1–1 D
02 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–4 L
25 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SC Paderborn 07 gets underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Abdelhamid Sabiri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Leopold Zingerle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' Goal! Robin Quaison scores his 31 goal in 105 matches.
  • 31' Karim Onisiwo was booked on 31.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' GOAL! Karim Onisiwo scores on 37.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Klaus Gjasula. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ronael Pierre-Gabriel made 422 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' Abdelhamid Sabiri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Klaus Gjasula on 56 minute.
  • 57' Sebastian Vasiliadis is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 62' Christian Strohdiek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 64' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Ronael Pierre-Gabriel by Pierre Kunde on 64 minute.
  • 69' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 72' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Laurent Jans departs to be replaced by Sven Michel.
  • 74' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Levin Oztunali departs to be replaced by Edimilson Fernandes.
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 84' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jean-Philippe Mateta is replaced by Adam Szalai.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sven Michel.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Paderborn 07.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0552% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0721%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
48%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw49% SC Paderborn 0717%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.