Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Wed 25 Jan 2023 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Christof Gunsch
  • Referee Patrick Alt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
05 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 0–3 L
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
22 Jan FC Augsburg H 4–3 W
11 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–4 L
08 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–2 L
05 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–0 W
02 Nov FC København A 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #2
40 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
53 Conceded 34
-9 GD +36
1.18 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund53%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
47%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
78%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.