Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Wed 25 Jan 2023 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Christof Gunsch
  • Referee Patrick Alt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
05 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 0–3 L
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
22 Jan FC Augsburg H 4–3 W
11 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–4 L
08 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–2 L
05 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–0 W
02 Nov FC København A 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#6 Position #1
7 Points 12
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +7
1.75 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — let the football do the talking.
  • 2' Lee Jaesung has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 4' A stunning finish from Julian Ryerson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 9' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 24' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's shape.
  • 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 34' Lee Jaesung has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 34.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' Salih Ozcan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' It’s high time Edin Terzić made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' The 24-year-old Karim Adeyemi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Youssoufa Moukoko is replaced by Sebastien Haller on 62 minute.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Anton Stach. He replaces Lee Jaesung on 63 minute.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Bo Svensson. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 76' Edimilson Fernandes is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 77' Marius Wolf is ready to make an impact after coming on for Karim Adeyemi at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' Alexander Hack gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Anthony Caci and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 89' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Aymen Barkok exits the field as Brajan Gruda enters on 89.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Borussia Dortmund — Mats Hummels on, Julian Brandt off on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund52%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
47%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
78%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 23% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.