Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#16 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.57 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0523% Draw36% Borussia Dortmund41%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
59%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
77%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0513% Draw62% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.8%
0 – 1
19.4%
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
1.9%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 4
0.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 15% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 26% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.