1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L 20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W 13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L 31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D 24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L 18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W 21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W 16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D 13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W 31 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W 23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D Season Stats
1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund #10 Position #2 40 Points 73 34 Played 34 10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5 44 Scored 70 53 Conceded 34 -9 GD +36 1.18 PPG 2.15 29% Win % 65% Key Stats
63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ ConcededBorussia Dortmund0-152/116-30–/–31-453/246-601/–61-751/–76+5/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Borussia Dortmund gets underway.
- Another three points for Borussia Dortmund.
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Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Marco Reus 4 Jonathan Burkardt 3 Erling Haaland 3 Robin Quaison 3 Jae-sung Lee 3 Jadon Sancho 3 Paul Nebel 2 Maximilian Beier 2 Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-09-13 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-08-31 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-08-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–3 Borussia Dortmund D -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.03 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.89 Borussia Dortmund xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.92Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 55% 45% ± 3.5 33% 67% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 49%Draw or Borussia Dortmund 77%1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11.3%1 – 2 9.6%0 – 2 Actual0 – 1 9.5%0 – 0 7.1%1 – 3 6%0 – 3 5.9%2 – 1 5.2%2 – 2 4.9%1 – 0 4.7%2 – 3 3.2%1 – 4 2.9%Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers -2.5 2% — 98% -2 2% 5% 93% -1.5 7% — 93% -1 7% 12% 81% -0.5 19% — 81% +0.5 44% — 56% +1 44% 23% 33% +1.5 67% — 33% +2 67% 17% 16% +2.5 84% — 16% Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 16% ✓Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet 36% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.