1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 2

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Borussia Dortmund

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Reichel

5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Koln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	1. FC Koln	H	0–1	L
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–0	W
21 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	Juventus FC	A	4–4	D
13 Sep	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W
31 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–0	W
23 Aug	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		Borussia Dortmund
#12	Position	#2
10	Points	21
9	Played	9
3 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
18	Scored	16
19	Conceded	7
-1	GD	+9
1.11	PPG	2.33
33%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Borussia Dortmund

Felix Kalu Nmecha	4 G
Sehrou Guirassy	3 G	2 A
Fabio Silva	3 G	2 A
Maximilian Beier	2 G	2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund share the spoils 0-2.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Erling Haaland	3
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Julian Brandt	2
Raphael Guerreiro	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-09-13 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-08-31 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-08-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–3 Borussia Dortmund D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.08 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0523% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund52%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

49%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

77%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund41%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

1 – 2

9.6%

0 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.6%

0 – 0

6.4%

1 – 3

6.3%

0 – 3

5.8%

2 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

3.5%

1 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	22%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	17%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.