Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D
18 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 1–0 W
05 Jul Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
02 Jul CF Monterrey H 2–1 W
25 Jun Ulsan HD FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
23 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
15 Aug FC Gutersloh A 5–0 W
17 May FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
10 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–3 L
03 May SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund 1. FC Union Berlin
#2 Position #11
73 Points 39
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
70 Scored 44
34 Conceded 58
+36 GD -14
2.15 PPG 1.15
65% Win % 29%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.5 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund67% Draw19% 1. FC Union Berlin14%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
86%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
33%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FC Union Berlin
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund52% Draw37% 1. FC Union Berlin11%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 21% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
40%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.