Saturday , 22 August 2026

Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2026-27
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Overview

Match Preview

Vitoria SC vs CD NacionalPrimeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–3 L
08 Aug FC Arouca H 0–1 L
16 May CD Nacional A 0–2 L
11 May Casa Pia AC H 0–1 L
04 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–5 L
25 Apr Rio Ave FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug GD Estoril Praia H 2–0 W
10 Aug CD Santa Clara A 2–2 D
16 May Vitoria SC H 2–0 W
11 May CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
02 May AVS H 1–2 L
25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Vitoria SC CD Nacional
#16 Position #4
0 Points 4
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 0
2 Scored 4
4 Conceded 2
-2 GD +2
0.00 PPG 2.00
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
50% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitoria SC are 16th (0 pts). CD Nacional are 4th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitoria SC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

H2H

Predictions

0.94 Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Vitoria SC23% Draw26% CD Nacional51%

Both Teams to Score

Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.84

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Vitoria SC or Draw
49%
Draw or CD Nacional
77%
Vitoria SC or CD Nacional
74%

Half-Time Result

Vitoria SC15% Draw44% CD Nacional41%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
3%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC

Handicap Vitoria SC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 23% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
16%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.