Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Jeremie Frimpong
Maxence Lacroix 41' 1–1
1–2 62' Alejandro Grimaldo

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
07 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
08 Oct 1. FC Köln H 3–0 W
05 Oct Molde FK A 2–1 W
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
21 Sep BK Häcken H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg32% Draw29% Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
60%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
68%
VfL Wolfsburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw49% Bayer 04 Leverkusen27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.