VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Fritz
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | 1. FC Koln | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Molde FK | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | BK Hacken | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #6 |
| 29 | Points | 59 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 17 / 8 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 68 |
| 69 | Conceded | 47 |
| -24 | GD | +21 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 21% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
H2H (26 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfL Wolfsburg to score. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 100% of all matches.
- 10' Sebastiaan Bornauw has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 13' Brilliant from the ! Jeremie Frimpong makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 13.
- 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Xabi Alonso will be considering his options from the bench.
- 23' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 36' Maximilian Arnold catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 36.
- 37' That is a Yellow card for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Exequiel Palacios will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' Magnificent from Maxence Lacroix! That is 10 goals in 328 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 45' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 46 minute. Tiago Tomas leaves to be changed by Amin Sarr.
- 51' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 55' The referee shows Bayer 04 Leverkusen player a Yellow card on 55.
- 56' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Amine Adli.
- 60' A tactical swap from Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Florian Wirtz on, Amine Adli off on 60 minutes.
- 62' Alejandro Grimaldo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
- 65' Joakim Maehle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
- 70' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 71' Lovro Majer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mattias Svanberg at the 71 minute mark.
- 74' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 78' Kevin Paredes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yannick Gerhardt at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Amine Adli, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Edmond Tapsoba on 86.
- 88' Nadiem Amiri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonas Hofmann at the 88 minute mark.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 31
- 12
- 20
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↓ Lovro Majer 71'
- 21
- 3
- 23
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Amin Sarr 46'
- 25
Bench
- 8
-
19
Lovro Majer ↑ 71'
-
9
Amin Sarr ↑ 46'
- 5
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↑ 78'
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↑ 78'
- 39
- 35
- 18
Coach
Niko Kovać
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
-
7
Jonas Hofmann ↓ Nadiem Amiri 88'
- 25
- 20
- 12
-
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↓ Nathan Tella 88'
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Florian Wirtz 60'
- 22
- 2
Bench
-
11
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 88'
- 8
- 14
- 23
- 17
-
10
Florian Wirtz ↑ 60'
-
19
Nathan Tella ↑ 88'
- 3
-
6
Odilon Kossounou ↑ 88'
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 3 |
| Paulinho | 3 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 |
| Marin Pongracic | 2 |
| Piero Hincapie | 1 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2023-10-21
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2023-10-08
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–0
1. FC Koln
W
2023-10-05
Molde FK
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2023-09-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2023-09-24
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2023-09-21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–0
BK Hacken
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
49%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
VfL Wolfsburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

