VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Oct | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | 1. FC Koln | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | SV Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #15 |
| 29 | Points | 32 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 |
| 45 | Scored | 37 |
| 69 | Conceded | 60 |
| -24 | GD | -23 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 21% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
SV Werder Bremen this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfL Wolfsburg and SV Werder Bremen is underway.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and SV Werder Bremen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 6' Maxence Lacroix picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 7' Goal! Marvin Ducksch scores his 40 goal in 302 matches.
- 12' Over 12 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' Magnificent from Vaclav Cerny! That is 44 goals in 480 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past SV Werder Bremen's compact 3-5-2.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 52' Denmark international Jens Stage has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' Maximilian Arnold gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Mattias Svanberg and will look to change the dynamic.
- 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Paredes makes it 2-1.
- 64' Leonardo Bittencourt catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 64.
- 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Romano Schmid makes it 2-2.
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Paredes argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 74' Nicolas Cozza is replacing Sebastiaan Bornauw for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
- 79' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lovro Majer, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 4 goals in the last 2 games.
- 80' Jonas Wind picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Joakim Maehle trudges off to be replaced by Ridle Baku on 84 minutes.
- 87' A tactical swap from SV Werder Bremen — Justin Njinmah on, Marvin Ducksch off on 87 minutes.
- 88' Maxence Lacroix picks up a Red card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' The whistle greets Rafael Borre as he departs to be replaced by Nick Woltemade.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Tiago Tomas 57'
- 4
- 12
- 32
- 19
-
21
Joakim Maehle ↓ Ridle Baku 84'
- 3
- 23
- 6
- 5
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↓ Jakub Kaminski 84'
Bench
-
8
Nicolas Cozza ↑ 74'
-
27
Maximilian Arnold ↑ 57'
- 31
-
20
Ridle Baku ↑ 84'
- 13
- 9
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↑ 84'
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 57'
- 35
Coach
Niko Kovać
SV Werder Bremen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 13
- 30
- 32
- 8
- 10
-
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Justin Njinmah 87'
- 20
-
19
Rafael Borre ↓ Nick Woltemade 90'
- 2
- 3
- 6
Bench
- 4
- 5
- 40
- 27
-
29
Nick Woltemade ↑ 90'
-
14
Senne Lynen ↑ 74'
-
17
Justin Njinmah ↑ 87'
- 38
- 35
Coach
Ole Werner
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Niclas Fullkrug | 5 |
| Wout Weghorst | 5 |
| John Brooks | 3 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 3 |
| Kevin Mohwald | 2 |
| Mitchell Weiser | 2 |
| Josh Sargent | 2 |
| Maxence Lacroix | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
SV Werder Bremen Form
2023-11-05
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
SV Werder Bremen
D
2023-10-28
SV Werder Bremen
2–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-10-20
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
SV Werder Bremen
L
2023-10-07
SV Werder Bremen
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2023-10-01
SV Darmstadt 98
4–2
SV Werder Bremen
L
2023-09-23
SV Werder Bremen
2–1
1. FC Koln
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
72%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
53%
VfL Wolfsburg or SV Werder Bremen
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | SV Werder Bremen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

