Friday , 3 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 9 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 56' Michael Olise

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
03 May SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
25 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
18 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
11 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L
04 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
06 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
02 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–3 D
28 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 4–5 L
25 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
22 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München
#16 Position #1
29 Points 89
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
45 Scored 122
69 Conceded 36
-24 GD +86
0.85 PPG 2.62
21% Win % 82%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Volkswagen Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Tom Bischof has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jeanuel Belocian made 422 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
  • 40' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Adam Daghim has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Joakim Maehle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 50' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Konstantinos Koulierakis, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' Michael Olise puts FC Bayern Munchen on the lead.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christian Eriksen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 71' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
  • 81' FC Bayern München seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern München that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kento Shiogai.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.03 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.39 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + FC Bayern München to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg14% Draw16% FC Bayern München70%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
30%
Draw or FC Bayern München
86%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München
84%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg9% Draw29% FC Bayern München62%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 3
7.9%
0 – 2
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 4
6.6%
0 – 4
6.6%
1 – 1
4.9%
1 – 5
4.6%
0 – 5
4.4%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 5% 92%
-0.5 8% 92%
+0.5 20% 80%
+1 20% 17% 63%
+1.5 37% 63%
+2 37% 20% 43%
+2.5 57% 43%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.