Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

Tue 28 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Parc des Princes HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr FC Bayern München H 5–4 W
25 Apr Angers SCO A 3–0 W
22 Apr FC Nantes H 3–0 W
19 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 1–2 L
14 Apr Liverpool FC A 2–0 W
08 Apr Liverpool FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 4–5 L
25 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
22 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
19 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 4–2 W
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC FC Bayern München
#11 Position #2
14 Points 21
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
21 Scored 22
11 Conceded 8
+10 GD +14
1.75 PPG 2.63
50% Win % 88%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.32 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC39% Draw22% FC Bayern München39%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Bayern München
61%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or FC Bayern München
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC30% Draw36% FC Bayern München34%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
11%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.