Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 12 May 2024 · 15:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lovro Zvonarek 4' 1–0
Leon Goretzka 13' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
27 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
20 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
13 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
07 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München VfL Wolfsburg
#7 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Bayern München gets underway.
  • 4' Goal! Lovro Zvonarek scores his 1 goal in 540 matches.
  • 9' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 13' GOAL! Leon Goretzka fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joakim Maehle suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 33' FC Bayern München are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Moritz Jenz is replaced by Cedric Zesiger on 46 minute.
  • 51' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lovro Majer on 53 minutes.
  • 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thomas Tuchel might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 68' Maxence Lacroix needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 73' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Dzenan Pejcinovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Min-Jae Kim by Matthijs de Ligt on 74 minute.
  • 79' Tiago Tomas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Paredes on 79 minute.
  • 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 85' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Jonas Wind exits the field as Dzenan Pejcinovic enters on 85.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Maxence Lacroix.
  • 90' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Lovro Zvonarek by Jonathan Asp-Jensen on 90 minute.
  • VfL Wolfsburg will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.44 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München54% Draw32% VfL Wolfsburg14%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
86%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
46%
FC Bayern München or VfL Wolfsburg
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München31% Draw60% VfL Wolfsburg9%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.9%
1 – 0
22.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
1.8%
2 – 2
1.4%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 15% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 29% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
65%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.