Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 12 May 2024 · 15:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lovro Zvonarek 4' 1–0
Leon Goretzka 13' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
27 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
20 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
13 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
07 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–3 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Bayern Munchen kicks off things out of here…
  • 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lovro Zvonarek makes it 1-0.
  • 9' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern Munchen in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leon Goretzka makes it 2-0.
  • 18' FC Bayern Munchen currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 23' Croatia international Lovro Majer has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 28' Dayot Upamecano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfL Wolfsburg tonight.
  • 33' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 38' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' Alphonso Davies has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 283 appearances.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Cedric Zesiger. He replaces Moritz Jenz on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern Munchen and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lovro Majer on 53.
  • 58' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 63' FC Bayern Munchen are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 68' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 73' FC Bayern Munchen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfL Wolfsburg backline.
  • 74' Min-Jae Kim makes way for Matthijs de Ligt at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Kevin Paredes as he leaves the pitch. Tiago Tomas steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 85' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Jonas Wind exits the field as Dzenan Pejcinovic enters on 85.
  • 90' Maxence Lacroix was booked on 90.
  • 90' Jonathan Asp-Jensen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lovro Zvonarek at the 90 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.75 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München57% Draw24% VfL Wolfsburg19%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
81%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
43%
FC Bayern München or VfL Wolfsburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München38% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg17%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.