Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Jamal Musiala
Lovro Majer pen 47' 1–1
Lovro Majer 55' 2–1
2–2 65' Jakub Kaminski og
2–3 82' Serge Gnabry

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
19 Aug TuS Koblenz A 1–0 W
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg30% Draw25% FC Bayern München45%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Bayern München
70%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg25% Draw42% FC Bayern München33%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.