Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Jamal Musiala
Lovro Majer pen 47' 1–1
Lovro Majer 55' 2–1
2–2 65' Jakub Kaminski og
2–3 82' Serge Gnabry

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
9 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
19 Aug TuS Koblenz A 1–0 W
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' VfL Wolfsburg have kicked off against FC Bayern Munchen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Tiago Tomas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Magnificent from Jamal Musiala! That is 75 goals in 555 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 25' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Manuel Neuer, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 31' The referee has no hesitation. Harry Kane is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 31.
  • 36' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Sacha Boey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 46.
  • 47' Lovro Majer does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' GOAL! Lovro Majer fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' Magnificent from Jakub Kaminski! That is 11 goals in 28 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 65' Thomas Muller has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sacha Boey on 65 minute.
  • 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jamal Musiala.
  • 71' Mattias Svanberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Patrick Wimmer as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Behrens steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 75' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Kingsley Coman comes on to replace Michael Olise.
  • 78' Yannick Gerhardt gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Lovro Majer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Min-Jae Kim is replaced by Eric Dier on 81 minute.
  • 82' What composure from Serge Gnabry! The Germany international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 82' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Cedric Zesiger gets a card.
  • 85' Mattias Svanberg makes way for Jonas Wind at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 90' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg30% Draw25% FC Bayern München45%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Bayern München
70%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg25% Draw42% FC Bayern München33%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.