Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Jamal Musiala
Lovro Majer pen 47' 1–1
Lovro Majer 55' 2–1
2–2 65' Jakub Kaminski og
2–3 82' Serge Gnabry

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
19 Aug TuS Koblenz A 1–0 W
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München
#1 Position #7
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG
21% Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Volkswagen Arena as VfL Wolfsburg face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Lovro Majer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Manuel Neuer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Canada international Alphonso Davies has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' A goal from the Germany international Jamal Musiala! He fires home on 20 to make it 0-1!
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Harry Kane.
  • 36' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Sacha Boey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 46.
  • 47' A goal from the Croatia international Lovro Majer! He fires home on 47 to make it 1-1!
  • 52' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' What a strike from Lovro Majer! The score is 2-1.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 65' What composure from Jakub Kaminski! The Poland international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 65' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 65 minute. Sacha Boey leaves to be changed by Thomas Muller.
  • 70' Jamal Musiala has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattias Svanberg on 71.
  • 71' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Patrick Wimmer is replaced by Kevin Behrens on 71 minute.
  • 75' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Michael Olise is withdrawn and Kingsley Coman gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Lovro Majer makes way for Yannick Gerhardt at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 81' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Eric Dier comes on to replace Min-Jae Kim.
  • 82' What a strike from Serge Gnabry! The score is 3-2.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Cedric Zesiger is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 82.
  • 85' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Mattias Svanberg is replaced by Jonas Wind on 85 minute.
  • 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The points are shared — VfL Wolfsburg 2-3 FC Bayern München. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.84 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw30% FC Bayern München46%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Bayern München
76%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg17% Draw53% FC Bayern München30%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.4%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 24% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
29%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.