Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 8–1 W
21 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
09 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 3–1 W
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 5–0 W
03 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
20 Dec SC Freiburg H 3–4 L
13 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W
06 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
30 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
22 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München VfL Wolfsburg
#1 Position #16
89 Points 29
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
122 Scored 45
36 Conceded 69
+86 GD -24
2.62 PPG 0.85
82% Win % 21%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.73 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + FC Bayern München to win 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München83% Draw10% VfL Wolfsburg7%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 5.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 80%
20%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
93%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
17%
FC Bayern München or VfL Wolfsburg
90%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München73% Draw20% VfL Wolfsburg7%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 8–1 not predicted
8 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
7.2%
5 – 1
6.8%
4 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
5 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
6 – 1
5.3%
6 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.2%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
5 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 61% 39%
-2 61% 16% 23%
-1.5 77% 23%
-1 77% 12% 11%
-0.5 89% 11%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
1%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.