Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Goretzka 20' 1–0
1–1 24' Mohammed Amoura
Michael Olise 39' 2–1
Leon Goretzka 62' 3–1
3–2 88' Mohammed Amoura

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
15 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
11 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 5–1 W
11 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
13 Dec SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern München is hosting VfL Wolfsburg for another epic battle.
  • 5' Min-Jae Kim has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' A goal from the Germany international Leon Goretzka! He fires home on 20 to make it 0-1!
  • 24' Mohammed Amoura adds to his 2 season tally! VfL Wolfsburg lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 29' Dayot Upamecano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 14 goals this season for the .
  • 44' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Joakim Maehle argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 61' Patrick Wimmer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
  • 62' GOAL! Leon Goretzka scores on 62. Assisted by Michael Olise
  • 63' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Yannick Gerhardt exits the field as Aster Vranckx enters on 63.
  • 67' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Leroy Sane departs to be replaced by Serge Gnabry.
  • 71' Mattias Svanberg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bence Dardai at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Kingsley Coman departs to be replaced by Jamal Musiala.
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joshua Kimmich.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Konrad Laimer on 84 minutes.
  • 88' Mohammed Amoura does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kilian Fischer on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München61% Draw21% VfL Wolfsburg18%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
82%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
39%
FC Bayern München or VfL Wolfsburg
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München43% Draw40% VfL Wolfsburg17%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.