Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Goretzka 20' 1–0
1–1 24' Mohammed Amoura
Michael Olise 39' 2–1
Leon Goretzka 62' 3–1
3–2 88' Mohammed Amoura

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
15 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
11 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–0 W
20 Dec RB Leipzig H 5–1 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 5–1 W
11 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
13 Dec SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München VfL Wolfsburg
#1 Position #16
89 Points 29
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
122 Scored 45
36 Conceded 69
+86 GD -24
2.62 PPG 0.85
82% Win % 21%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Allianz Arena!
  • 5' Harry Kane is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfL Wolfsburg tonight.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Leon Goretzka puts FC Bayern Munchen on the lead.
  • 24' Brilliant from the ! Mohammed Amoura makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 24.
  • 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' It’s high time Ralph Hasenhuttl made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 39' The France Michael Olise breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 0-3!
  • 44' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' Joakim Maehle picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 55' Joakim Maehle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 60' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Patrick Wimmer on 61 minutes earns him a card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Leon Goretzka makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Aster Vranckx. He replaces Yannick Gerhardt on 63 minute.
  • 67' Serge Gnabry has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leroy Sane on 67 minute.
  • 71' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Bence Dardai is replaced by Mattias Svanberg on 71 minute.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Kingsley Coman as he leaves the pitch. Jamal Musiala steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 79' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Konrad Laimer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' Magnificent from Mohammed Amoura! That is 30 goals in 10 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • VfL Wolfsburg will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.15 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 88% + FC Bayern München to win 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München80% Draw12% VfL Wolfsburg8%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 5.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 88%
12%
± 3.5 74%
26%
± 4.5 57%
43%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
20%
FC Bayern München or VfL Wolfsburg
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München68% Draw24% VfL Wolfsburg8%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
4 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
7.1%
4 – 0
6.6%
3 – 0
6.5%
5 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.4%
5 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
5%
6 – 1
4.2%
4 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
6 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 53% 47%
-2 53% 18% 29%
-1.5 71% 29%
-1 71% 14% 15%
-0.5 85% 15%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
2%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.