Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 53' Ridle Baku
Anton Stach 75' Y
Anton Stach 76' Y
Bo Svensson 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Michael Bacher
  • Referee Guido Winkmann
  • Referee Markus Sinn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 0–3 L
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
21 Oct 1. FC Koln H 5–0 W
18 Oct VfB Lubeck A 3–0 W
15 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
29 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
22 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
18 Oct Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W
15 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–2 D
08 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
#10 Position #16
40 Points 29
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
44 Scored 45
53 Conceded 69
-9 GD -24
1.18 PPG 0.85
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ridle Baku, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Omar Marmoush suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' Patrick Wimmer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 33' Assisted by Felix Kalu Nmecha with the perfectly-timed delivery and Patrick Wimmer makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' Ridle Baku catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 53.
  • 58' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' 1. FSV Mainz 05 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Felix Kalu Nmecha as he leaves the pitch. Mattias Svanberg steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 70' Maximilian Arnold has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Burkardt. He replaces Marcus Ingvartsen on 71 minute.
  • 75' Anton Stach is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 76' The referee calls foul for Anton Stach. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 76' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Patrick Wimmer is replaced by Kilian Fischer.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Angelo Fulgini steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Bo Svensson on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Lee Jaesung trudges off to be replaced by Aymen Barkok on 84 minutes.
  • 84' GOAL! Ridle Baku scores on 84. Assisted by Jakub Kaminski
  • 85' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Lee Jaesung exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 85.
  • 88' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Paulo Otavio is withdrawn and Jerome Roussillon gets his opportunity.
  • VfL Wolfsburg celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw26% VfL Wolfsburg39%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0528% Draw42% VfL Wolfsburg30%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.