Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 53' Ridle Baku
Anton Stach 75' Y
Anton Stach 76' Y
Bo Svensson 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Michael Bacher
  • Referee Guido Winkmann
  • Referee Markus Sinn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 0–3 L
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
21 Oct 1. FC Köln H 5–0 W
18 Oct VfB Lubeck A 3–0 W
15 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
29 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
22 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
18 Oct Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W
15 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–2 D
08 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–1 D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 475 games and scored 488 goals.
  • 15' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' What a strike from Patrick Wimmer! The score is 0-1.
  • 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 407 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' Lukas Nmecha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Koen Casteels suffering a number of foals already.
  • 53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ridle Baku.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Felix Kalu Nmecha is withdrawn and Mattias Svanberg gets his opportunity.
  • 70' Maximilian Arnold has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 71' Jonathan Burkardt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcus Ingvartsen on 71 minute.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Anton Stach.
  • 76' Anton Stach has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 76.
  • 76' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Patrick Wimmer trudges off to be replaced by Kilian Fischer on 76 minutes.
  • 78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Anthony Caci has done his job and it is now time for Angelo Fulgini to step up.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Bo Svensson on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 84' Aymen Barkok has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lee Jaesung on 84 minute.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Ridle Baku gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 85' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Lee Jaesung exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 85.
  • 88' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Paulo Otavio is withdrawn and Jerome Roussillon gets his opportunity.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 0-3 VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw28% VfL Wolfsburg40%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
59%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg31%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.