1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Rafael Foltyn
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Referee Jan Seidel
- Referee Michael Bacher
- Referee Guido Winkmann
- Referee Markus Sinn
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | FC Bayern München | A | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Köln | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | VfB Lubeck | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 0 | Points | 29 |
| 0 | Played | 34 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 0 | Scored | 45 |
| 0 | Conceded | 69 |
| +0 | GD | -24 |
| – | PPG | 0.85 |
| – | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, VfL Wolfsburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Sebastiaan Bornauw has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 390 appearances.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's shape.
- 25' The 33-year-old Lee Jaesung has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact .
- 33' Patrick Wimmer is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' That is a Yellow card for VfL Wolfsburg. Ridle Baku will be fuming at that decision.
- 58' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' Mattias Svanberg gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Felix Kalu Nmecha and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Brilliant from the ! Maximilian Arnold makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 70.
- 71' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Marcus Ingvartsen is replaced by Jonathan Burkardt.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Anton Stach on 75 minutes.
- 76' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Anton Stach will be fuming at that decision.
- 76' Kilian Fischer gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Patrick Wimmer and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Angelo Fulgini is hanging Anthony Caci on the field on 78 minute.
- 81' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 84' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Lee Jaesung by Aymen Barkok on 84 minute.
- 84' The deadlock is broken! Ridle Baku gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
- 85' The whistle greets Lee Jaesung as he departs to be replaced by Aymen Barkok.
- 88' Jerome Roussillon is replacing Paulo Otavio for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from VfL Wolfsburg to claim maximum points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 84'
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Angelo Fulgini 78'
- 31
- 27
- 42
- 9
- 3
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 71'
- 11
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Delano Burgzorg 78'
Bench
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↑ 78'
- 1
- 16
- 8
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 71'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 71'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 84'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 78'
- 17
Coach
Bo Svensson
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↓ Jonas Wind 65'
- 1
- 27
- 31
- 20
- 6
- 3
- 22
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Omar Marmoush 88'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Kilian Fischer 76'
- 5
Bench
- 4
-
15
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 88'
- 14
- 12
- 7
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 65'
-
23
Jonas Wind ↑ 65'
-
33
Omar Marmoush ↑ 88'
-
2
Kilian Fischer ↑ 76'
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
| Stefan Bell | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Robin Quaison | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.69
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
59%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.6%
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
2.5%
2 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
1%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

