1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rafael Foltyn
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Referee Jan Seidel
- Referee Michael Bacher
- Referee Guido Winkmann
- Referee Markus Sinn
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | FC Bayern München | A | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Koln | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | VfB Lubeck | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 40 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 44 | Scored | 45 |
| 53 | Conceded | 69 |
| -9 | GD | -24 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ridle Baku, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Omar Marmoush suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Patrick Wimmer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 33' Assisted by Felix Kalu Nmecha with the perfectly-timed delivery and Patrick Wimmer makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' Ridle Baku catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 53.
- 58' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 63' 1. FSV Mainz 05 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 65' The crowd applauds Felix Kalu Nmecha as he leaves the pitch. Mattias Svanberg steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
- 70' Maximilian Arnold has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Burkardt. He replaces Marcus Ingvartsen on 71 minute.
- 75' Anton Stach is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
- 76' The referee calls foul for Anton Stach. He receives a Yellow card.
- 76' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Patrick Wimmer is replaced by Kilian Fischer.
- 78' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Angelo Fulgini steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 81' A moment of madness from Bo Svensson on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Lee Jaesung trudges off to be replaced by Aymen Barkok on 84 minutes.
- 84' GOAL! Ridle Baku scores on 84. Assisted by Jakub Kaminski
- 85' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Lee Jaesung exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 85.
- 88' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Paulo Otavio is withdrawn and Jerome Roussillon gets his opportunity.
- VfL Wolfsburg celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 84'
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Angelo Fulgini 78'
- 31
- 27
- 42
- 9
- 3
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 71'
- 11
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Delano Burgzorg 78'
Bench
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↑ 78'
- 1
- 16
- 8
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 71'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 71'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 84'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 78'
- 17
Coach
Bo Svensson
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↓ Jonas Wind 65'
- 1
- 27
- 31
- 20
- 6
- 3
- 22
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Omar Marmoush 88'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Kilian Fischer 76'
- 5
Bench
- 4
-
15
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 88'
- 14
- 12
- 7
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 65'
-
23
Jonas Wind ↑ 65'
-
33
Omar Marmoush ↑ 88'
-
2
Kilian Fischer ↑ 76'
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

