Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 13 Jan 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 24,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Vaclav Cerny
Silvan Widmer 61' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
16 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
10 Dec 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
20 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
16 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
09 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
02 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–3 L

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds MEWA Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 3' Silvan Widmer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 3.
  • 8' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 12' Brilliant from the ! Vaclav Cerny makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 12.
  • 16' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Aster Vranckx.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' It’s high time Jan Siewert made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 27' Poor challenge from Moritz Jenz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 32' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 475 games and scored 488 goals.
  • 42' Tom Krauss needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 17 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Sepp van den Berg gets a Yellow card.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Koen Casteels is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — Yellow card on 54.
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Edimilson Fernandes.
  • 61' What a strike from Silvan Widmer! The score is 1-1.
  • 62' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 62 minute. Matondo-Merveille Papela leaves to be changed by Brajan Gruda.
  • 64' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Nicolas Cozza is replaced by Rogerio on 64 minute.
  • 69' Edimilson Fernandes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 71' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Aster Vranckx exits the field as Mattias Svanberg enters on 71.
  • 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Tom Krauss as he leaves the pitch. Leandro Barreiro Martins steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 79' Mattias Svanberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 79.
  • 84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 88' Maxim Leitsch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philipp Mwene on 88 minute.
  • 90' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Lovro Majer has done his job and it is now time for Yannick Gerhardt to step up.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw30% VfL Wolfsburg38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw50% VfL Wolfsburg29%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.