1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Ittrich
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
16 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Dec | 1. FC Koln | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 40 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 44 | Scored | 45 |
| 53 | Conceded | 69 |
| -9 | GD | -24 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at MEWA Arena!
- 3' The referee calls foul for Silvan Widmer. He receives a Yellow card.
- 8' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 12' What a strike from Vaclav Cerny! The score is 0-1.
- 16' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aster Vranckx on 16.
- 21' It’s high time Niko Kovać made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 26' Joakim Maehle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 27' The referee calls foul for Moritz Jenz. He receives a Yellow card.
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FSV Mainz 05 winning 50% of all matches.
- 37' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 51' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Aster Vranckx has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 54' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 54.
- 57' Poor challenge from Edimilson Fernandes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 61' Against the run of play, Silvan Widmer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brajan Gruda is hanging Matondo-Merveille Papela on the field on 62 minute.
- 64' Rogerio is replacing Nicolas Cozza for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
- 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 71' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Aster Vranckx departs to be replaced by Mattias Svanberg.
- 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leandro Barreiro Martins is hanging Tom Krauss on the field on 78 minute.
- 79' Mattias Svanberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 79.
- 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Philipp Mwene trudges off to be replaced by Maxim Leitsch on 88 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Lovro Majer is replaced by Yannick Gerhardt on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Maxim Leitsch 88'
- 27
- 9
- 29
- 20
- 30
- 14
- 24
Bench
- 17
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 78'
- 23
-
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↑ 78'
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 88'
- 33
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 62'
- 45
Coach
Jan Siewert
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Ridle Baku 71'
-
8
Nicolas Cozza ↓ Rogerio 64'
- 1
- 27
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 90'
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Tiago Tomas 71'
- 25
Bench
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 90'
- 12
-
20
Ridle Baku ↑ 71'
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 71'
-
13
Rogerio ↑ 64'
- 5
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 71'
- 2
- 18
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.34
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
63%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

