Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 13 Jan 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 24,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Vaclav Cerny
Silvan Widmer 61' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
16 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
10 Dec 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
20 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
16 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
09 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
02 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–3 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
#16 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 3' Silvan Widmer picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 8' Ridle Baku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 12' Vaclav Cerny is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 16' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Aster Vranckx gets a Yellow card.
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' Moritz Jenz picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' A moment of madness from Sepp van den Berg on 46 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 51' Philipp Mwene has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Koen Casteels on 54 minutes.
  • 57' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Edimilson Fernandes.
  • 61' Silvan Widmer does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 62' The crowd applauds Matondo-Merveille Papela as he leaves the pitch. Brajan Gruda steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 64' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Nicolas Cozza has done his job and it is now time for Rogerio to step up.
  • 69' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' A tactical swap from VfL WolfsburgMattias Svanberg on, Aster Vranckx off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' Leandro Barreiro Martins gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Tom Krauss and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 88' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Philipp Mwene exits the field as Maxim Leitsch enters on 88.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Yannick Gerhardt. He replaces Lovro Majer on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.4 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0523% Draw40% VfL Wolfsburg37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
63%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
77%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 059% Draw69% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.8%
0 – 1
22.2%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 0
2.1%
2 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.1%
2 – 2
0.9%
0 – 4
0.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 13% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 27% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
47%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
67%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.