1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Ittrich
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Dec | 1. FC Köln | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 0 | Points | 29 |
| 0 | Played | 34 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 0 | Scored | 45 |
| 0 | Conceded | 69 |
| +0 | GD | -24 |
| – | PPG | 0.85 |
| – | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 3' Silvan Widmer picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 8' Ridle Baku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 12' Vaclav Cerny is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 16' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Aster Vranckx gets a Yellow card.
- 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' Moritz Jenz picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 37' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' A moment of madness from Sepp van den Berg on 46 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 51' Philipp Mwene has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Koen Casteels on 54 minutes.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Edimilson Fernandes.
- 61' Silvan Widmer does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 62' The crowd applauds Matondo-Merveille Papela as he leaves the pitch. Brajan Gruda steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 64' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Nicolas Cozza has done his job and it is now time for Rogerio to step up.
- 69' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 71' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Mattias Svanberg on, Aster Vranckx off on 71 minutes.
- 76' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' Leandro Barreiro Martins gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Tom Krauss and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg on 79 minutes.
- 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 88' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Philipp Mwene exits the field as Maxim Leitsch enters on 88.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Yannick Gerhardt. He replaces Lovro Majer on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Maxim Leitsch 88'
- 27
- 9
- 29
- 20
- 30
- 14
- 24
Bench
- 17
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 78'
- 23
-
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↑ 78'
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 88'
- 33
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 62'
- 45
Coach
Jan Siewert
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Ridle Baku 71'
-
8
Nicolas Cozza ↓ Rogerio 64'
- 1
- 27
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 90'
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Tiago Tomas 71'
- 25
Bench
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 90'
- 12
-
20
Ridle Baku ↑ 71'
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 71'
-
13
Rogerio ↑ 64'
- 5
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 71'
- 2
- 18
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.4
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 1.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 2.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
63%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
77%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
60%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.8%
0 – 1
22.2%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 0
2.1%
2 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.1%
2 – 2
0.9%
0 – 4
0.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 13% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 27% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 10% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
47%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
67%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

