1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Ittrich
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Dec | 1. FC Köln | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 3' Silvan Widmer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 3.
- 8' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 12' Vaclav Cerny makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
- 16' Controversy at the stadium! Aster Vranckx argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lovro Majer, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 27' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 32' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 37' Philipp Mwene has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 446 appearances.
- 42' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jan Siewert might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Controversy at the stadium! Sepp van den Berg argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 54' Poor challenge from Koen Casteels. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 57' Edimilson Fernandes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 57.
- 61' The deadlock is broken! Silvan Widmer gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
- 62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brajan Gruda is hanging Matondo-Merveille Papela on the field on 62 minute.
- 64' Rogerio is replacing Nicolas Cozza for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
- 69' Sebastiaan Bornauw, a Belgium defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 71' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Aster Vranckx is replaced by Mattias Svanberg.
- 76' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Dominik Kohr has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 78' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Tom Krauss is withdrawn and Leandro Barreiro Martins gets his opportunity.
- 79' That is a Yellow card for VfL Wolfsburg. Mattias Svanberg will be fuming at that decision.
- 84' Moritz Jenz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 88' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 88 minute. Philipp Mwene leaves to be changed by Maxim Leitsch.
- 90' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Lovro Majer is withdrawn and Yannick Gerhardt gets his opportunity.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Maxim Leitsch 88'
- 27
- 9
- 29
- 20
- 30
- 14
- 24
Bench
- 17
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 78'
- 23
-
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↑ 78'
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 88'
- 33
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 62'
- 45
Coach
Jan Siewert
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Ridle Baku 71'
-
8
Nicolas Cozza ↓ Rogerio 64'
- 1
- 27
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 90'
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Tiago Tomas 71'
- 25
Bench
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 90'
- 12
-
20
Ridle Baku ↑ 71'
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 71'
-
13
Rogerio ↑ 64'
- 5
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 71'
- 2
- 18
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
| Stefan Bell | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

