V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Vegalta Sendai | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #4 |
| 21 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! V-Varen Nagasaki welcome Sanfrecce Hiroshima for this crunch clash at .
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hiroki Mizumoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Japan international Kenta Tokushige has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 201 games and scored 65 goals.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' It’s high time Takuya Takagi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 60' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 456 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 65' Yuki Nogami has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 348 appearances.
- 70' V-Varen Nagasaki are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with V-Varen Nagasaki winning 100% of all matches.
- 80' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 85' V-Varen Nagasaki is showing some good football. However, V-Varen Nagasaki are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 90' V-Varen Nagasaki seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for V-Varen Nagasaki.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 5
- 32
- 39
- 3
- 28
-
34
Takumi Nagura ↓ Keita Nakamura 53'
- 17
-
10
Masato Kurogi ↓ Ryo Niizato 64'
- 9
-
19
Takashi Sawada ↓ Shu Hiramatsu 81'
Bench
- 1
- 4
-
20
Keita Nakamura ↑ 53'
- 6
- 23
-
27
Ryo Niizato ↑ 64'
-
37
Shu Hiramatsu ↑ 81'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Sho Sasaki ↓ Hayao Kawabe 75'
- 6
- 1
- 4
- 2
- 33
- 30
- 18
- 15
- 39
-
20
Daiki Watari ↓ Teerasil Dangda 46'
Bench
- 34
-
23
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 67'
- 27
- 10
-
36
Hayao Kawabe ↑ 75'
- 9
-
31
Teerasil Dangda ↑ 46'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenshin Yasuda | 2 |
| Teerasil Dangda | 2 |
| Teerasil Dangda | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
| Matheus Jesus | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2018-04-28
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2018-04-25
FC Tōkyō
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2018-04-22
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2018-04-21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2018-04-15
Shonan Bellmare
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2018-04-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vegalta Sendai
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
56%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
71%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.