V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee
4 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–4 | D |
| 24 Nov | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Jubilo Iwata | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #4 |
| 21 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for V-Varen Nagasaki to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Teerasil Dangda | 2 |
| Teerasil Dangda | 2 |
| Kosei Shibasaki | 1 |
| Kosei Shibasaki | 1 |
| Akito Suzuki | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-02-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-12-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-11-30
Kawasaki Frontale
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-11-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2025-10-25
Yokohama F·Marinos
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-10-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
FC Tōkyō
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
47%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

