Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima 25,623 HT 45' · FT 45'
Akito Suzuki 10' 1–0
Mutsuki Kato 52' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen NagasakiJ. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Nariaki Hirose (Japan)
8 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 2–0 W
11 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 6–5 W
05 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
27 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
22 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–3 L
18 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
11 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
05 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–3 L
21 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
18 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
15 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima V-Varen Nagasaki
#4 Position #9
30 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
41 Scored 25
33 Conceded 33
+8 GD -8
1.67 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64% Draw21% V-Varen Nagasaki15%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
85%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
36%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or V-Varen Nagasaki
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw40% V-Varen Nagasaki13%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.