Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hayato Shimizu
- Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Nariaki Hirose (Japan)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 6–5 | W |
| 05 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #9 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 25 |
| 33 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | -8 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and V-Varen Nagasaki.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against V-Varen Nagasaki's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 10' What a strike from Akito Suzuki! The score is 1-0.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined V-Varen Nagasaki backline.
- 20' Mutsuki Kato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Diego Pituca.
- 30' The V-Varen Nagasaki bench stirs into life. Hayato Teruyama is withdrawn and Eduardo gets his opportunity.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' It’s a booking for V-Varen Nagasaki player. Thiago Santana gets a card.
- 43' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bartosch Gaul will be considering his options from the bench.
- 52' Goal! Mutsuki Kato scores his 22 goal in 369 matches.
- 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shuto Nakano is hanging Shunki Higashi on the field on 61 minute.
- 66' The V-Varen Nagasaki manager makes a substitution. Hijiri Onaga departs to be replaced by Tsubasa Kasayanagi.
- 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and V-Varen Nagasaki are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 75' It is a substitution in V-Varen Nagasaki team. Motoki Hasegawa is replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki on 75 minute.
- 77' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Akito Suzuki by Sota Nakamura on 77 minute.
- 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 100% of all matches.
- 87' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Hayao Kawabe is replaced by Taichi Yamasaki on 87 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Diego Pituca.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 87'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Shuto Nakano 61'
- 33
- 4
- 13
- 30
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Sota Nakamura 77'
-
11
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 77'
Bench
- 9
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 87'
- 41
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 61'
- 99
- 25
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 61'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 77'
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 77'
Coach
Bartosch Gaul
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 22
- 23
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Matheus Jesus 75'
- 21
- 50
- 5
- 29
- 13
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Norman Campbell 66'
-
48
Hayato Teruyama ↓ Eduardo 30'
- 41
Bench
-
4
Eduardo ↑ 30'
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↑ 75'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 75'
- 1
- 24
-
11
Norman Campbell ↑ 66'
- 3
- 34
-
33
Tsubasa Kasayanagi ↑ 66'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Teerasil Dangda | 2 |
| Teerasil Dangda | 2 |
| Kosei Shibasaki | 1 |
| Kosei Shibasaki | 1 |
| Akito Suzuki | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–5
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
2026-04-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2026-03-27
Vissel Kobe
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-03-22
Shimizu S-Pulse
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-03-18
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-05
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-03-18
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2026-03-15
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
85%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
36%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or V-Varen Nagasaki
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 23% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

