Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Udinese Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 16:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 71,018 HT 45' · FT 45'
Samuel Chukwueze 13' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Udinese CalcioSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
01 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
27 Sep US Lecce H 3–0 W
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct AC Milan A 0–1 L
05 Oct US Lecce H 1–0 W
28 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 2–3 L
22 Sep AS Roma A 0–3 L
16 Sep Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–2 W
01 Sep Como 1907 H 1–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Udinese Calcio
#5 Position #10
70 Points 50
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 14 / 8 / 16
53 Scored 45
35 Conceded 48
+18 GD -3
1.84 PPG 1.32
53% Win % 37%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting Udinese Calcio for another epic battle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christian Kabasele made 358 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 13' A stunning finish from Samuel Chukwueze — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 23' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 28' Brenner has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 34' It’s high time Kosta Runjaić made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 39' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Martin Payero has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' Jaka Bijol catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 46' Yunus Musah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noah Okafor at the 46 minute mark.
  • 49' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Iker Bravo makes way for Keinan Davis at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Udinese Calcio.
  • 66' Udinese Calcio come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 69' Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oier Zarraga on 69 minute.
  • 70' Martin Payero is replacing Sandi Lovric for the Udinese Calcio side.
  • 73' Tammy Abraham is replacing Alvaro Morata for the AC Milan side.
  • 78' Ruben Loftus-Cheek is replacing Tammy Abraham for the AC Milan side.
  • 81' Brenner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesper Karlstrom on 81 minute.
  • 82' Lorenzo Lucca catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 87' England international Keinan Davis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 88' AC Milan make a change. Samuel Chukwueze trudges off to be replaced by Fikayo Tomori on 88 minutes.
  • 89' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • 90' Hassane Kamara is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.75 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Udinese Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan54% Draw25% Udinese Calcio21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or Udinese Calcio
46%
AC Milan or Udinese Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw45% Udinese Calcio17%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Udinese Calcio covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.