Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
3 – 1
Full Time
Sun 18 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 68,143 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gianluca Mancini 3' 1–0
1–1 39' Joao Felix
Leandro Paredes 58' 2–1
Bryan Cristante 87' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Del Giovane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May AC Milan H 3–1 W
12 May Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
27 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 1–0 W
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr SS Lazio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma AC Milan
#1 Position #5
13 Points 11
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
14 Scored 10
3 Conceded 4
+11 GD +6
2.60 PPG 2.20
80% Win % 60%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AS Roma to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3' Brilliant from the ! Gianluca Mancini makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 3.
  • 8' The 27-year-old Alexis Saelemaekers has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 530 games and scored 617 goals.
  • 18' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 21' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Gianluca Mancini.
  • 30' Tijjani Reijnders is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AS Roma so far.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 39' GOAL! Joao Felix scores on 39. Assisted by Alex Jimenez
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bryan Cristante.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 58' A stunning finish from Leandro Paredes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Zeki Celik.
  • 62' Alex Jimenez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 65' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is replaced by Luka Jovic on 65 minute.
  • 66' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Joao Felix by Rafael Leao on 66 minute.
  • 71' Christian Pulisic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Leandro Paredes is withdrawn and Lucas Gourna-Douath gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' AS Roma ring the changes. Eldor Shomurodov has done his job and it is now time for Stephan El Shaarawy to step up.
  • 87' Bryan Cristante makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AS Roma are in front.
  • 90' Fikayo Tomori is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Filippo Terracciano on, Christian Pulisic off on 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma54% Draw25% AC Milan21%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
79%
Draw or AC Milan
46%
AS Roma or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma37% Draw45% AC Milan18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.