Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AS Roma
3 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 18 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 68,143 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gianluca Mancini 3' 1–0
1–1 39' Joao Felix
Leandro Paredes 58' 2–1
Bryan Cristante 87' 3–1
R 21' Santiago Gimenez
Gianluca Mancini 25' Y
Bryan Cristante 45' Y
Zeki Celik 61' Y
Y 62' Alex Jimenez
Y 90' Fikayo Tomori

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

  • AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
  • AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Del Giovane
11 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

4
6
8
AS Roma 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan 2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma 2024-04-18 AS Roma 2–1 AC Milan 2024-04-11 AC Milan 0–1 AS Roma 2024-01-14 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma

Recent Form

AS Roma
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May AC Milan H 3–1 W
12 May Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
27 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 1–0 W
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr SS Lazio A 1–1 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma AC Milan
#3 Position #5
73 Points 70
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
59 Scored 53
31 Conceded 35
+28 GD +18
1.92 PPG 1.84
61% Win % 53%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadio Olimpico, Rome that hosts another battle between AS Roma and AC Milan.
  • 3' Against the run of play, Gianluca Mancini has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 8' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Santiago Gimenez, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 21' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 21.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Gianluca Mancini is booked for AS Roma — card on 25.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' It’s high time Sergio Conceicao made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 39' What composure from Joao Felix! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AS Roma and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bryan Cristante on 45.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' Leandro Paredes adds to his 1 season tally! AS Roma lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' AS Roma player sees a card in front of him.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Jimenez on 62.
  • 65' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is withdrawn and Luka Jovic gets his opportunity.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Leao. He replaces Joao Felix on 66 minute.
  • 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Lucas Gourna-Douath is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leandro Paredes at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' AS Roma started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
  • 84' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Stephan El Shaarawy comes on to replace Eldor Shomurodov.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Bryan Cristante makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 87.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 90' Filippo Terracciano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian Pulisic at the 90 minute mark.
  • AS Roma celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Claudio Ranieri

AC Milan Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 5
Franck Kessie 3
Tammy Abraham 3
Olivier Giroud 3
Gianluca Mancini 3
Jordan Veretout 2
Leandro Paredes 2
Alexis Saelemaekers 2

Head to Head

2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan 2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma 2024-04-18 AS Roma 2–1 AC Milan 2024-04-11 AC Milan 0–1 AS Roma 2024-01-14 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma

AS Roma Form

2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan W 2025-05-12 Atalanta BC 2–1 AS Roma L 2025-05-04 AS Roma 1–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-04-27 FC Internazionale Milano 0–1 AS Roma W 2025-04-19 AS Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2025-04-13 SS Lazio 1–1 AS Roma D

AC Milan Form

2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan L 2025-05-09 AC Milan 3–1 Bologna FC 1909 W 2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan W 2025-04-27 Venezia FC 0–2 AC Milan W 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-04-11 Udinese Calcio 0–4 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma49% Draw27% AC Milan24%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
76%
Draw or AC Milan
51%
AS Roma or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma32% Draw48% AC Milan20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.