Sunday , 16 August 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
3 1
Full Time
Sun 18 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 68,143 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gianluca Mancini 3' 1–0
1–1 39' Joao Felix
Leandro Paredes 58' 2–1
Bryan Cristante 87' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Del Giovane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May AC Milan H 3–1 W
12 May Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
27 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 1–0 W
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr SS Lazio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Venezia FC A 2–0 W
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma AC Milan
#6 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 6th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AS Roma to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3' Gianluca Mancini adds to his 0 season tally! AS Roma lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 8' Santiago Gimenez, a Mexico , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Riccardo Sottil, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' Santiago Gimenez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gianluca Mancini.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' AS Roma are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 39' Magnificent from Joao Felix! That is 75 goals in 467 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Claudio Ranieri will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Bryan Cristante picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Alex Jimenez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' AC Milan come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 58' What a moment for Leandro Paredes! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Zeki Celik is booked for AS Roma — card on 61.
  • 62' That is a card for AC Milan. Alex Jimenez will be fuming at that decision.
  • 65' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Luka Jovic comes on to replace Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 66' AC Milan ring the changes. Joao Felix has done his job and it is now time for Rafael Leao to step up.
  • 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 77' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Leandro Paredes is replaced by Lucas Gourna-Douath.
  • 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
  • 84' A change in the AS Roma ranks — Eldor Shomurodov exits the field as Stephan El Shaarawy enters on 84.
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Bryan Cristante gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 90' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Christian Pulisic is replaced by Filippo Terracciano on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AS Roma to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + AS Roma or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma42% Draw35% AC Milan23%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
77%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
AS Roma or AC Milan
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma22% Draw63% AC Milan15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26%
1 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 23% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
54%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.