AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Piccinini
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Stefano Del Giovane
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | AC Milan | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 May | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | AS Roma | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 May | Genoa CFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Venezia FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Atalanta BC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Udinese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 27 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 8 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 31 | Scored | 23 |
| 10 | Conceded | 13 |
| +21 | GD | +10 |
| 2.45 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 73% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
55%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 8 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Mora | 4 G | |
| Matias Soule | 3 G | 3 A |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 3 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 2 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AS Roma and AC Milan get this one started.
- 3' Gianluca Mancini is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 8' The 29-year-old Angelino has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AS Roma and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Santiago Gimenez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 25' Gianluca Mancini has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' Zeki Celik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 39' Assisted by Alex Jimenez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joao Felix makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 44' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' It’s a booking for AS Roma player. Bryan Cristante gets a card.
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Manu Kone made 430 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Claudio Ranieri might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 58' Leandro Paredes puts AS Roma on the lead.
- 61' Poor challenge from Zeki Celik. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Jimenez on 62.
- 65' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Luka Jovic comes on to replace Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
- 66' AC Milan ring the changes. Joao Felix has done his job and it is now time for Rafael Leao to step up.
- 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 76' Fikayo Tomori has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 77' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Leandro Paredes is replaced by Lucas Gourna-Douath on 77 minute.
- 82' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 84' Another change for AS Roma made on 84 minute. Eldor Shomurodov leaves to be changed by Stephan El Shaarawy.
- 87' What a moment for Bryan Cristante! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 90.
- 90' AC Milan make a change. Christian Pulisic trudges off to be replaced by Filippo Terracciano on 90 minutes.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 5
- 23
- 4
- 14
- 16
- 99
- 56
- 17
-
18
Matias Soule ↓ Devyne Rensch 77'
Bench
- 15
- 21
- 95
- 7
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 84'
- 25
- 11
- 12
-
2
Devyne Rensch ↑ 77'
-
35
Tommaso Baldanzi ↑ 84'
- 34
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 77'
- 61
- 66
- 70
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
AC Milan Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 14
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↓ Luka Jovic 65'
- 23
- 16
- 11
-
79
Joao Felix ↓ Rafael Leao 66'
- 31
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Riccardo Sottil 84'
- 80
- 7
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Youssouf Fofana 65'
Bench
- 22
- 90
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↑ 65'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 66'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 65'
- 24
-
99
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 84'
- 57
- 28
-
42
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 90'
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Edin Dzeko | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.06
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
79%
Draw or AC Milan
44%
AS Roma or AC Milan
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

