AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Piccinini
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Stefano Del Giovane
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | AC Milan | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 May | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | AS Roma | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 May | Genoa CFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Venezia FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Atalanta BC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Udinese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 4 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 14 | Scored | 10 |
| 3 | Conceded | 4 |
| +11 | GD | +6 |
| 2.60 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 80% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 6 G | |
| Matias Soule | 2 G | 1 A |
| Manu Kone | 2 G | |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 2 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AS Roma to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 3' Brilliant from the ! Gianluca Mancini makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 3.
- 8' The 27-year-old Alexis Saelemaekers has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 530 games and scored 617 goals.
- 18' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 21' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Gianluca Mancini.
- 30' Tijjani Reijnders is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AS Roma so far.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 39' GOAL! Joao Felix scores on 39. Assisted by Alex Jimenez
- 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bryan Cristante.
- 50' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 58' A stunning finish from Leandro Paredes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Zeki Celik.
- 62' Alex Jimenez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is replaced by Luka Jovic on 65 minute.
- 66' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Joao Felix by Rafael Leao on 66 minute.
- 71' Christian Pulisic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 77' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Leandro Paredes is withdrawn and Lucas Gourna-Douath gets his opportunity.
- 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 84' AS Roma ring the changes. Eldor Shomurodov has done his job and it is now time for Stephan El Shaarawy to step up.
- 87' Bryan Cristante makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AS Roma are in front.
- 90' Fikayo Tomori is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Filippo Terracciano on, Christian Pulisic off on 90 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 5
- 23
- 4
- 14
- 16
- 99
- 56
- 17
-
18
Matias Soule ↓ Devyne Rensch 77'
Bench
- 15
- 21
- 95
- 7
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 84'
- 25
- 11
- 12
-
2
Devyne Rensch ↑ 77'
-
35
Tommaso Baldanzi ↑ 84'
- 34
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 77'
- 61
- 66
- 70
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
AC Milan Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 14
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↓ Luka Jovic 65'
- 23
- 16
- 11
-
79
Joao Felix ↓ Rafael Leao 66'
- 31
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Riccardo Sottil 84'
- 80
- 7
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Youssouf Fofana 65'
Bench
- 22
- 90
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↑ 65'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 66'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 65'
- 24
-
99
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 84'
- 57
- 28
-
42
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 90'
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
79%
Draw or AC Milan
46%
AS Roma or AC Milan
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

