Saturday , 14 November 2026

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Friuli 20,463 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Lucca 26' 1–0
1–1 46' Nicolo Fagioli
1–2 57' Pietro Comuzzo
Christian Kabasele 61' 2–2
2–3 82' Moise Kean

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Friuli.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Tolfo
  • Assistant 2 Mattia Politi (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 16.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
18 May Juventus FC A 0–2 L
11 May AC Monza H 1–2 L
03 May Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
28 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
23 Apr Torino FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
18 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio ACF Fiorentina
#20 Position #15
5 Points 9
11 Played 11
1 / 2 / 8 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
12 Scored 17
25 Conceded 25
-13 GD -8
0.45 PPG 0.82
9% Win % 18%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Udinese Calcio this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Udinese Calcio are 20th (5 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Udinese Calcio
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
2/4
61-75
–/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Udinese Calcio
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 3 G 1 A
Hassane Kamara 2 G 2 A
Jakub Piotrowski 1 G
ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio30% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina46%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
55%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
70%
Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio25% Draw39% ACF Fiorentina36%
Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 19% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.