Thursday , 2 July 2026

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Friuli 20,463 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Lucca 26' 1–0
1–1 46' Nicolo Fagioli
1–2 57' Pietro Comuzzo
Christian Kabasele 61' 2–2
2–3 82' Moise Kean

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Friuli.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Tolfo
  • Assistant 2 Mattia Politi (Italy)
9 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 21.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
18 May Juventus FC A 0–2 L
11 May AC Monza H 1–2 L
03 May Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
28 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
23 Apr Torino FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
18 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio ACF Fiorentina
#10 Position #15
50 Points 42
38 Played 38
14 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
45 Scored 41
48 Conceded 50
-3 GD -9
1.32 PPG 1.11
37% Win % 24%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadio Friuli. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Matteo Palma has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 456 appearances.
  • 9' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jaka Bijol on 9 minutes.
  • 14' Arthur Atta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Beltran suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christian Kabasele, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Friuli with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 26' What composure from Lorenzo Lucca! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' Udinese Calcio currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' Jaka Bijol has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' Nicolo Fagioli is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
  • 46' Nicolo Fagioli makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and ACF Fiorentina are in front.
  • 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Beltran.
  • 52' Udinese Calcio make a change. Alexis Sanchez trudges off to be replaced by Oier Zarraga on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Pietro Comuzzo does the damage! The net is bulging and ACF Fiorentina surge ahead!
  • 59' A moment of madness from Amir Richardson on 59 minutes earns him a card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 61' What a strike from Christian Kabasele! The score is 2-2.
  • 66' Dodo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 71' Albert Gudmundsson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Amir Richardson at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Udinese Calcio. Arthur Atta is replaced by Iker Bravo.
  • 78' Keinan Davis gets the nod from Udinese Calcio. He replaces Lorenzo Lucca and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Pietro Comuzzo is withdrawn and Marin Pongracic gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Goal! Moise Kean scores his 58 goal in 519 matches.
  • 85' A change in the ACF Fiorentina ranks — Lucas Beltran exits the field as Cher Ndour enters on 85.
  • 86' The Udinese Calcio bench stirs into life. Kingsley Ehizibue is withdrawn and Matteo Palma gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Jesper Karlstrom catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for ACF Fiorentina players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio34% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina39%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
61%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
66%
Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio26% Draw45% ACF Fiorentina29%
Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
23%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.