Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Friuli 20,463 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Lucca 26' 1–0
1–1 46' Nicolo Fagioli
1–2 57' Pietro Comuzzo
Christian Kabasele 61' 2–2
2–3 82' Moise Kean

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Friuli.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Tolfo
  • Assistant 2 Mattia Politi (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 18.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
18 May Juventus FC A 0–2 L
11 May AC Monza H 1–2 L
03 May Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
28 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
23 Apr Torino FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
18 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio ACF Fiorentina
#13 Position #17
4 Points 4
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
8 Scored 6
11 Conceded 12
-3 GD -6
0.80 PPG 0.80
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Udinese Calcio this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Udinese Calcio are 13th (4 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Udinese Calcio
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Udinese Calcio
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 2 G 1 A
Hassane Kamara 2 G 1 A
Jakub Piotrowski 1 G
ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio42% Draw23% ACF Fiorentina35%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
65%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
58%
Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio36% Draw37% ACF Fiorentina27%
Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 18% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.