Sunday , 16 August 2026

USL Dunkerque vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
3 1
Full Time
Mon 16 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stade Marcel-Tribut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

USL Dunkerque vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade Marcel-Tribut.

Match Details

  • Referee Florent Batta

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec SM Caen H 3–1 W
09 Dec FC Metz A 0–2 L
25 Nov AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
08 Nov Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–0 W
01 Nov Amiens SC H 3–1 W
29 Oct FC Lorient A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–3 D
09 Nov FC Metz A 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Bastia H 2–0 W
29 Oct FC Martigues A 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
USL Dunkerque this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' USL Dunkerque have kicked off against SM Caen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 8' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ugo Raghouber.
  • 13' USL Dunkerque are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Romain Thomas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
  • 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' Bilal Brahimi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 52' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi was booked on 52.
  • 53' What composure from Yacine Bammou! The Morocco international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 58' USL Dunkerque are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SM Caen backline.
  • 60' Gessime Yassine makes way for Kay Tejan at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from USL Dunkerque.
  • 61' Tidiam Gomis makes way for Leo Milliner at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 65' Vincent Sasso is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 68' SM Caen ring the changes. Diabe Bolumbu has done his job and it is now time for Mathias Autret to step up.
  • 69' Noe Lebreton is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 73' What a moment for Gabin Tome! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 73' Gaetan Courtet gets the nod from USL Dunkerque. He replaces Maxence Rivera and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Leo Milliner gets a card.
  • 80' The USL Dunkerque manager makes a substitution. Naatan Skytta departs to be replaced by Yirigue Sekongo.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Quentin Lecoeuche.
  • 83' Goal! Gaetan Courtet scores his 50 goal in 434 matches.
  • 88' Ugo Raghouber has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 USL Dunkerque xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
USL Dunkerque49% Draw27% SM Caen24%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

USL Dunkerque or Draw
76%
Draw or SM Caen
51%
USL Dunkerque or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
USL Dunkerque34% Draw47% SM Caen19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — USL Dunkerque

Handicap USL Dunkerque covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
36%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.