Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs USL Dunkerque, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 0
Full Time
Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs USL DunkerqueLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Mickael Leleu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
06 Dec FC Annecy A 2–1 W
02 Dec SC Bastia H 1–0 W
27 Nov Angers SCO A 0–3 L
11 Nov US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 3–3 D
04 Nov ES Troyes AC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec SM Caen A 0–1 L
05 Dec SC Bastia H 0–5 L
02 Dec Pau FC A 1–1 D
25 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–2 L
11 Nov Valenciennes FC A 1–0 W
04 Nov Amiens SC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. USL Dunkerque kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The travelling USL Dunkerque supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 8' Brilliant from the ! Bilal Brahimi makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 8.
  • 13' Enzo Bardeli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 178 appearances.
  • 18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brahim Traore is clearly more than just a goal scorer for USL Dunkerque.
  • 23' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SM Caen that had 399 games and scored 298 goals.
  • 33' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' France international Arnaud Balijon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 48' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined USL Dunkerque backline.
  • 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daylam Meddah on 58.
  • 61' The USL Dunkerque bench stirs into life. Elhadj Bah is withdrawn and Samy Baghdadi gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Ibrahima Sy picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 70' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Noe Lebreton exits the field as Daylam Meddah enters on 70.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Moussa Guel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Patrice Sauvaget will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Valentin Henry on 81 minutes.
  • 82' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Bilal Brahimi is replaced by Mohamed Hafid on 82 minute.
  • 87' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and USL Dunkerque are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 89' Tidiam Gomis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh on 89 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for SM Caen and USL Dunkerque (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 USL Dunkerque xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen50% Draw28% USL Dunkerque22%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
78%
Draw or USL Dunkerque
50%
SM Caen or USL Dunkerque
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen30% Draw51% USL Dunkerque19%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push USL Dunkerque covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
40%
USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.