SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Ahmed Taleb
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | SC Bastia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | FC Martigues | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | ES Troyes AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Red Star FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FC Lorient | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | SM Caen | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Rodez Aveyron Football | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | Pau FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Annecy | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | USL Dunkerque | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Michel-d'Ornano. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Kalifa Coulibaly has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Gustave Akueson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' Alex Mendy puts SM Caen on the lead.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Loic Etoga made 312 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Zakaria Ariss is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' Another change for SM Caen made on 46 minute. Valentin Henry leaves to be changed by Diabe Bolumbu.
- 51' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' What a strike from Bilal Brahimi! The score is 2-0.
- 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
- 65' Godson Kyeremeh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mickael Le Bihan on 65 minute.
- 67' The whistle greets Clement Rodrigues as he departs to be replaced by Felix Tomi.
- 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Julien Maggiotti. He replaces Christophe Vincent on 74 minute.
- 77' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lorenzo Rajot is hanging Bilal Brahimi on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' The travelling SC Bastia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Bastia that had 174 games and scored 197 goals.
- 90' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Alex Mendy by Mathias Autret on 90 minute.
- Another three points for SM Caen.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 77'
- 16
- 8
-
18
Kalifa Coulibaly ↓ Tidiam Gomis 65'
- 29
-
19
Alex Mendy ↓ Mathias Autret 90'
- 28
-
4
Valentin Henry ↓ Diabe Bolumbu 46'
- 61
- 20
- 77
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mathias Autret ↑ 90'
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 77'
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↑ 65'
-
3
Diabe Bolumbu ↑ 46'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 65'
- 36
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
13
Tom Ducrocq ↓ Loic Etoga 67'
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↓ Lamine Cisse 46'
- 30
- 66
- 15
- 10
- 28
-
25
Clement Rodrigues ↓ Felix Tomi 67'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 6
- 23
-
9
Felix Tomi ↑ 67'
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↑ 46'
-
14
Loic Etoga ↑ 67'
-
5
Julien Maggiotti ↑ 74'
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
| Dominique Guidi | 1 |
| Zakaria Ariss | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Bastia
48%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SM Caen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.