SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Ahmed Taleb
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | SC Bastia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | FC Martigues | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | ES Troyes AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Red Star FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | FC Lorient | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | SM Caen | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Rodez Aveyron Football | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | Pau FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Annecy | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | USL Dunkerque | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! SM Caen vs SC Bastia — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Loic Etoga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' SC Bastia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Amine Boutrah is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Bastia tonight.
- 31' Alex Mendy adds to his 0 season tally! SM Caen lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 45' The referee shows SC Bastia player a card on 45.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Diabe Bolumbu. He replaces Valentin Henry on 46 minute.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 57' GOAL! Bilal Brahimi fires home to make it 2-0!
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 65' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Godson Kyeremeh on, Mickael Le Bihan off on 65 minutes.
- 67' It is a substitution in SC Bastia team. Clement Rodrigues is replaced by Felix Tomi on 67 minute.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi.
- 74' The SC Bastia bench stirs into life. Christophe Vincent is withdrawn and Julien Maggiotti gets his opportunity.
- 77' Lorenzo Rajot has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bilal Brahimi on 77 minute.
- 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 87' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 90' The crowd applauds Alex Mendy as he leaves the pitch. Mathias Autret steps in for SM Caen.
- Another three points for SM Caen.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 77'
- 16
- 8
-
18
Kalifa Coulibaly ↓ Tidiam Gomis 65'
- 29
-
19
Alex Mendy ↓ Mathias Autret 90'
- 28
-
4
Valentin Henry ↓ Diabe Bolumbu 46'
- 61
- 20
- 77
Bench
- 1
-
23
Mathias Autret ↑ 90'
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 77'
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↑ 65'
-
3
Diabe Bolumbu ↑ 46'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 65'
- 36
SC Bastia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
13
Tom Ducrocq ↓ Loic Etoga 67'
-
27
Lisandru Tramoni ↓ Lamine Cisse 46'
- 30
- 66
- 15
- 10
- 28
-
25
Clement Rodrigues ↓ Felix Tomi 67'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 6
- 23
-
9
Felix Tomi ↑ 67'
-
11
Lamine Cisse ↑ 46'
-
14
Loic Etoga ↑ 67'
-
5
Julien Maggiotti ↑ 74'
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 6 |
| Nuno Da Costa | 3 |
| Yohan Bai | 3 |
| Benjamin Santelli | 2 |
| Anton Saletros | 1 |
| Hianga Mananga Mbock | 1 |
| Bilal Brahimi | 1 |
| Ilyes Najim | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Bastia
48%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SM Caen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.