Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 0
Full Time
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 13:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs SC BastiaLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Ahmed Taleb

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov SC Bastia H 2–0 W
29 Oct FC Martigues A 3–0 W
26 Oct ES Troyes AC H 0–1 L
18 Oct Red Star FC A 2–2 D
05 Oct FC Lorient H 1–2 L
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov SM Caen A 0–2 L
29 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football H 2–2 D
22 Oct Pau FC A 1–1 D
18 Oct Clermont Foot 63 H 0–0 D
27 Sep FC Annecy H 2–2 D
24 Sep USL Dunkerque A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SM Caen vs SC Bastia — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SM Caen and SC Bastia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' SC Bastia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' France international Julien Maggiotti has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Against the run of play, Alex Mendy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 36' The 29-year-old Yannis Clementia has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and SC Bastia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' The referee shows SC Bastia player a card on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Valentin Henry is replaced by Diabe Bolumbu on 46 minute.
  • 51' Valentin Henry needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 57' Bilal Brahimi adds to his 0 season tally! SM Caen lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 62' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Bastia's shape.
  • 65' Godson Kyeremeh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mickael Le Bihan on 65 minute.
  • 67' Clement Rodrigues makes way for Felix Tomi at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Bastia.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi.
  • 74' Julien Maggiotti is replacing Christophe Vincent for the SC Bastia side.
  • 77' Lorenzo Rajot is replacing Bilal Brahimi for the SM Caen side.
  • 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Guevara, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 87' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi, a Ivory Coast , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Alex Mendy as he leaves the pitch. Mathias Autret steps in for SM Caen.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for SM Caen and SC Bastia (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen52% Draw27% SC Bastia21%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Bastia
48%
SM Caen or SC Bastia
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen33% Draw51% SC Bastia16%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
13.4%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
43%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.