Thursday , 2 July 2026

USL Dunkerque vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
3 1
Full Time
Mon 16 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stade Marcel-Tribut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

USL Dunkerque vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade Marcel-Tribut.

Match Details

  • Referee Florent Batta

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec SM Caen H 3–1 W
09 Dec FC Metz A 0–2 L
25 Nov AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
08 Nov Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–0 W
01 Nov Amiens SC H 3–1 W
29 Oct FC Lorient A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L
06 Dec Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–3 D
09 Nov FC Metz A 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Bastia H 2–0 W
29 Oct FC Martigues A 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Marcel-Tribut will turn into a battlefield for USL Dunkerque and SM Caen.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 8' The referee calls foul for Ugo Raghouber. He receives a card.
  • 13' The travelling SM Caen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 18' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adrian Ortola, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Marcel-Tribut with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi. He receives a card.
  • 53' Yacine Bammou puts USL Dunkerque on the lead.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. USL Dunkerque is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Kay Tejan. He replaces Gessime Yassine on 60 minute.
  • 61' Another change for SM Caen made on 61 minute. Tidiam Gomis leaves to be changed by Leo Milliner.
  • 65' Goal! Vincent Sasso scores his 15 goal in 214 matches.
  • 68' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Diabe Bolumbu is replaced by Mathias Autret.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Noe Lebreton.
  • 73' GOAL! Gabin Tome scores on 73.
  • 73' Gaetan Courtet is replacing Maxence Rivera for the USL Dunkerque side.
  • 75' The referee calls foul for Leo Milliner. He receives a card.
  • 80' Yirigue Sekongo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Naatan Skytta on 80 minute.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Quentin Lecoeuche. He receives a card.
  • 83' GOAL! Gaetan Courtet scores on 83.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for USL Dunkerque players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 USL Dunkerque xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
USL Dunkerque49% Draw27% SM Caen24%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

USL Dunkerque or Draw
76%
Draw or SM Caen
51%
USL Dunkerque or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
USL Dunkerque34% Draw47% SM Caen19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — USL Dunkerque

Handicap USL Dunkerque covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
36%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.