Saturday , 22 August 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg, DFB-Pokal 2026-27 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2026-27
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 16:00 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC FreiburgDFB-Pokal at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 0–3 L
10 May SV 07 Elversberg H 3–1 W
02 May FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
24 Apr SG Dynamo Dresden H 3–1 W
18 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–2 L
10 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
16 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
10 May Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
07 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
30 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

H2H

Predictions

1.75 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf48% Draw26% SC Freiburg26%

Both Teams to Score

Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
74%
Draw or SC Freiburg
52%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Freiburg
74%

Half-Time Result

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf35% Draw44% SC Freiburg21%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
30%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.