TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SG Dynamo Dresden, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SG Dynamo Dresden — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- SG Dynamo Dresden 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Bauer
12 games this season
🟨 0.3/game
⚽ 3.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Hertha BSC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Hertha BSC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Preussen Munster | H | 6–0 | W |
Season Stats
| TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | SG Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #11 |
| 37 | Points | 41 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 4 / 19 | W / D / L | 11 / 8 / 15 |
| 33 | Scored | 54 |
| 53 | Conceded | 53 |
| -20 | GD | +1 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts). SG Dynamo Dresden are 11th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf to score. At the same time, SG Dynamo Dresden does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julian Pauli, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Spiel-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' SG Dynamo Dresden seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 11' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cedric Itten on 11.
- 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 17' Goal! Emmanuel Iyoha scores his 4 goal in 149 matches.
- 22' Luca Herrmann has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SG Dynamo Dresden that had 199 games and scored 41 goals.
- 32' SG Dynamo Dresden looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jakob Lemmer scoring 1 goals.
- 37' SG Dynamo Dresden started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
- 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' Luca Raimund is replacing Christopher Lenz for the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf side.
- 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SG Dynamo Dresden needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SG Dynamo Dresden winning 50% of all matches.
- 58' What a strike from Luca Raimund! The score is 3-0.
- 62' Jakob Lemmer is replacing Jason Ceka for the SG Dynamo Dresden side.
- 63' The SG Dynamo Dresden manager makes a substitution. Kofi Amoako departs to be replaced by Luca Herrmann.
- 64' The whistle greets Matthias Zimmermann as he departs to be replaced by Jesper Daland.
- 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 73' Stefan Kutschke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Niklas Hauptmann on 73 minute.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Christoph Daferner. He replaces Vincent Vermeij on 78 minute.
- 83' It looks surprising TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf does not make any changes. Jonas Sterner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Elias Egouli made 1 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' Goal! Jakob Lemmer scores his 4 goal in 3 matches.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf players.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 3
- 25
- 33
- 13
- 23
- 15
- 14
- 20
- 44
- 8
Bench
- 9
- 6
- 11
- 2
- 1
- 7
- 27
- 39
- 29
Coach
Alexander Ende
SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 27
- 19
- 39
- 32
- 1
-
7
Jason Ceka ↓ Jakob Lemmer 62'
- 20
- 18
-
6
Kofi Amoako ↓ Luca Herrmann 63'
- 13
Bench
-
30
Stefan Kutschke ↑ 73'
- 37
- 29
-
33
Christoph Daferner ↑ 78'
-
8
Luca Herrmann ↑ 63'
-
2
Konrad Faber ↑ 73'
- 16
-
10
Jakob Lemmer ↑ 62'
- 42
Coach
Thomas Stamm
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jakob Lemmer | 1 |
| Emmanuel Iyoha | 1 |
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
| Luca Raimund | 1 |
| Christoph Daferner | 1 |
| Robin Meissner | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2026-04-24
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
3–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-04-18
1. FC Magdeburg
2–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2026-04-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
Holstein Kiel
L
2026-04-04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2026-03-22
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–5
Hertha BSC
L
2026-03-14
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
SG Dynamo Dresden Form
2026-04-24
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
3–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
L
2026-04-18
SG Dynamo Dresden
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2026-04-11
1. FC Nurnberg
0–2
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-04-04
SG Dynamo Dresden
0–1
Hertha BSC
L
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
L
2026-03-15
SG Dynamo Dresden
6–0
SC Preussen Munster
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
SG Dynamo Dresden xG
I would bet for:
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SG Dynamo Dresden 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
62%
Draw or SG Dynamo Dresden
64%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SG Dynamo Dresden
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | SG Dynamo Dresden covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 17% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

