TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

3 – 1

Full Time

RB Leipzig

Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Patrick Ittrich

16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals RB Leipzig

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig 2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Nov	RB Leipzig	H	3–1	W
02 Nov	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–2	W
28 Oct	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	9–10	L
25 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–1	W
19 Oct	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	3–0	W
03 Oct	1. FC Koln	H	0–1	L

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–3	L
01 Nov	VfB Stuttgart	H	3–1	W
28 Oct	FC Energie Cottbus	A	4–1	W
25 Oct	FC Augsburg	A	6–0	W
18 Oct	Hamburger SV	H	2–1	W
04 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		RB Leipzig
#5	Position	#3
61	Points	65
34	Played	34
18 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	20 / 5 / 9
65	Scored	66
52	Conceded	47
+13	GD	+19
1.79	PPG	1.91
53%	Win %	59%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
Full Time. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beats RB Leipzig

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Christopher Nkunku	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2
Tom Bischof	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2025-11-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-11-02 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-10-28 FC St. Pauli 1910 10–9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2025-10-25 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-10-19 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-10-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 1. FC Koln L

RB Leipzig Form

2025-11-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-11-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-10-28 FC Energie Cottbus 1–4 RB Leipzig W 2025-10-25 FC Augsburg 0–6 RB Leipzig W 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV W 2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.95 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 RB Leipzig xG

I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig 77% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim42% Draw23% RB Leipzig35%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

65%

Draw or RB Leipzig

58%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31% Draw38% RB Leipzig31%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

4.7%

3 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

0 – 2

3.9%

1 – 0

3.5%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	RB Leipzig covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	17%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	17%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.