Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–3 L
04 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
14 Sep FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
03 Oct 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
20 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–4 L
13 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–2 W
30 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#18 Position #5
26 Points 61
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
29 Scored 65
60 Conceded 52
-31 GD +13
0.76 PPG 1.79
18% Win % 53%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191023% Draw25% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim52%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
48%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191014% Draw43% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
0 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 23% 37%
+1.5 63% 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
15%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.