Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–3 L
04 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
14 Sep FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
03 Oct 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
20 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–4 L
13 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–2 W
30 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191031% Draw28% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
59%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
69%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191021% Draw48% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.