Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–4 L
13 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–2 W
30 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
23 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
16 Aug FC Hansa Rostock A 4–0 W
17 May FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
17 Sep Chelsea FC H 3–1 W
13 Sep Hamburger SV H 5–0 W
30 Aug FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
27 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
22 Aug RB Leipzig H 6–0 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim FC Bayern München
#5 Position #1
61 Points 89
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
65 Scored 122
52 Conceded 36
+13 GD +86
1.79 PPG 2.62
53% Win % 82%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Bayern München kicks off things out of here…
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-4.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.49 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim15% Draw17% FC Bayern München68%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
32%
Draw or FC Bayern München
85%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12% Draw29% FC Bayern München59%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 4
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 5
4.6%
1 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 4
4.2%
0 – 5
3.6%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 6% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 24% 76%
+1 24% 17% 59%
+1.5 41% 59%
+2 41% 19% 41%
+2.5 59% 41%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.