Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Bayern München 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Hamburger SV H 5–0 W
30 Aug FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
27 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
22 Aug RB Leipzig H 6–0 W
05 Jul Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
16 Aug FK 03 Pirmasens A 2–1 W
18 May SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 2–3 L
10 May SSV Ulm 1846 H 6–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Hamburger SV
#2 Position #16
10 Points 3
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
14 Scored 2
2 Conceded 13
+12 GD -11
2.50 PPG 0.75
75% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
5 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 86% + Over 2.5 goals 86%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München86% Draw8% Hamburger SV6%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 5.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 53%
47%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
94%
Draw or Hamburger SV
14%
FC Bayern München or Hamburger SV
92%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München85% Draw14% Hamburger SV1%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
4 – 0
14.8%
5 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
12.4%
6 – 0
11.9%
7 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8%
5 – 1
4.3%
4 – 1
4.3%
6 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
7 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 79% — 21%
-2 79% 12% 9%
-1.5 91% — 9%
-1 91% 6% 3%
-0.5 97% — 3%
+0.5 100% — 0%
+1 100% — 0%
+1.5 100% — 0%
+2 100% — 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
75% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
1% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.