Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC Bayern München
5 – 0
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Bayern München 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-13 FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Hamburger SV H 5–0 W
30 Aug FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
27 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
22 Aug RB Leipzig H 6–0 W
05 Jul Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 4–2 W
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D
16 Aug FK 03 Pirmasens A 2–1 W
18 May SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–3 L
10 May SSV Ulm 1846 H 6–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Hamburger SV
#1 Position #13
89 Points 38
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
122 Scored 40
36 Conceded 54
+86 GD -14
2.62 PPG 1.12
82% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.29 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 84% + Over 2.5 goals 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München84% Draw10% Hamburger SV6%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 4.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
94%
Draw or Hamburger SV
16%
FC Bayern München or Hamburger SV
90%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München78% Draw19% Hamburger SV3%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
4 – 0
12.3%
3 – 0
11.9%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
6 – 0
7.4%
4 – 1
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
5 – 1
5.2%
7 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
6 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 67% — 33%
-2 67% 16% 16%
-1.5 84% — 16%
-1 84% 10% 6%
-0.5 94% — 6%
+0.5 99% — 1%
+1 99% 1% 0%
+1.5 100% — 0%
+2 100% — 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
61% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.