Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
23 Aug SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
17 Aug Hallescher FC A 2–0 W
17 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
11 May VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 May Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
27 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
22 Aug RB Leipzig H 6–0 W
05 Jul Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 4–2 W
24 Jun Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Augsburg FC Bayern München
#9 Position #1
43 Points 89
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
45 Scored 122
61 Conceded 36
-16 GD +86
1.26 PPG 2.62
35% Win % 82%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC Augsburg are 9th (43 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.3 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg16% Draw17% FC Bayern München67%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
33%
Draw or FC Bayern München
84%
FC Augsburg or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg12% Draw30% FC Bayern München58%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 3
6.3%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 1
5.1%
0 – 4
5.1%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 5
4.2%
2 – 4
4%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 25% 75%
+1 25% 18% 57%
+1.5 43% 57%
+2 43% 19% 38%
+2.5 62% 38%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.