Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–4 L
31 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
23 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
15 Aug FC Gutersloh A 5–0 W
17 May FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
10 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–2 W
30 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
23 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
16 Aug FC Hansa Rostock A 4–0 W
17 May FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
09 May VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#11 Position #5
39 Points 61
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
44 Scored 65
58 Conceded 52
-14 GD +13
1.15 PPG 1.79
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin30% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim46%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
54%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
70%
1. FC Union Berlin or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin22% Draw39% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim39%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 20% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
12%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.