TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Fritz
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | FC Bayern München | H | 4–2 | W |
| 12 May | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 6–0 | W |
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 4–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 61 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 65 | Scored | 122 |
| 52 | Conceded | 36 |
| +13 | GD | +86 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 53% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim welcome FC Bayern München for this crunch clash at PreZero Arena.
- 4' Mathys Tel is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 6' The Canada Alphonso Davies breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 0-2!
- 8' The Germany Maximilian Beier breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 1-2!
- 13' Kevin Akpoguma is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern München so far.
- 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 23' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 28' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 33' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Aleksandar Pavlovic exits the field as Lovro Zvonarek enters on 34.
- 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wout Weghorst made 471 appearances and scored 102 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 54' Florian Grillitsch catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 54.
- 59' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' David Jurasek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marius Bulter at the 61 minute mark.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 68' Against the run of play, Andrej Kramaric has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 73' Oliver Baumann, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 81' The whistle greets Mathys Tel as he departs to be replaced by Bryan Zaragoza.
- 85' What composure from Andrej Kramaric! The Croatia international strokes it home. 3-2.
- 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andrej Kramaric makes it 4-2.
- 88' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 90' A moment of madness from Bryan Zaragoza on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
- 90' Maximilian Beier makes way for Wout Weghorst at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim take all three points.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 9
- 25
- 1
- 3
- 27
- 11
-
6
Grischa Promel ↓ Umut Tohumcu 61'
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ David Jurasek 61'
- 5
- 14
-
16
Anton Stach ↓ Tom Bischof 81'
Bench
-
10
Wout Weghorst ↑ 90'
- 23
- 29
- 20
- 37
-
39
Tom Bischof ↑ 81'
-
40
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 61'
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 61'
- 35
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 15
- 4
- 1
- 6
- 25
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 19
-
39
Mathys Tel ↓ Bryan Zaragoza 81'
- 45
Bench
- 40
- 26
- 18
-
17
Bryan Zaragoza ↑ 81'
-
34
Lovro Zvonarek ↑ 34'
- 44
- 41
- 38
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 7 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 6 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 3 |
| Philippe Coutinho | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-05-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–2
FC Bayern München
W
2024-05-12
SV Darmstadt 98
0–6
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-05-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
RB Leipzig
D
2024-04-26
VfL Bochum 1848
3–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-04-20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
2024-04-13
1. FSV Mainz 05
4–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
FC Bayern München Form
2024-05-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–2
FC Bayern München
L
2024-05-12
FC Bayern München
2–0
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2024-05-08
Real Madrid CF
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-04-30
FC Bayern München
2–2
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-04-27
FC Bayern München
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.52
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Bayern München 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Bayern München
63%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 18% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.